Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $19.3K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $98.74K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $467.41K
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: $50.09K

If you invest $100 $573.39 back +$473.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $123.14K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $94.85K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$27.94K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $61.33K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $31.59K
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $34.29K

If you invest $100 $151.52 back +$51.52 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 9:38 PM

PnL: $3.21K
Volume: $28.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $670.81
Potential payout: $865.56
Potential profit: $194.75
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $44.2

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $576.81
Potential payout: $784.78
Potential profit: $207.97
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $89.68

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.18K
Volume: $13.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $2.4K
Potential payout: $4.38K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $1.92K

If you invest $100 $181.98 back +$81.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $1.02K

If you invest $100 $253.49 back +$153.49 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.4K
Volume: $17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $262.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $237.5

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $998.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1.5
User PnL: $48.5

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.03K
Volume: $3.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $7.46K
Potential payout: $21.61K
Potential profit: $14.15K
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $3.01K

If you invest $100 $289.52 back +$189.52 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $3.49K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.51K
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: $1.43K

If you invest $100 $573.39 back +$473.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.98K
Volume: $12.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $865.99
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $709.97
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $793.98

If you invest $100 $181.98 back +$81.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $276.14
Potential payout: $699.98
Potential profit: $423.84
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $238.79

If you invest $100 $253.49 back +$153.49 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.89K
Volume: $3.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 50.6%
Current value: $939
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $916.73
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $897.23

If you invest $100 $197.63 back +$97.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 41.4%
Current value: $428.89
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $607.08
Multiplier: 2.42x
User PnL: $400.43

If you invest $100 $241.55 back +$141.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.31K
Volume: $71.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $340.14
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $327.36

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $411.85
Potential payout: $680.75
Potential profit: $268.9
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $33.21

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.22K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $123.14K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $94.85K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$27.94K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $98.74K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $467.41K
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: $50.09K

If you invest $100 $573.39 back +$473.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.07K
Volume: $2.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $0.93
User PnL: $949.9

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $212.45
Potential payout: $212.56
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $120.02

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $999.65
Volume: $9.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $503.38
Potential payout: $916.07
Potential profit: $412.69
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $498.73

If you invest $100 $181.98 back +$81.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $127.61
Potential payout: $323.48
Potential profit: $195.87
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $103.87

If you invest $100 $253.49 back +$153.49 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $962.99
Volume: $18.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $7.26K
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $243.89
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.78K

If you invest $100 $103.36 back +$3.36 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.24K
Potential payout: $5.24K
Potential profit: $7.87
User PnL: $18.36

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $949.96
Volume: $3.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $88.27
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $155.2

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $208.28
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $59.32

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $7.46K
Potential payout: $21.61K
Potential profit: $14.15K
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $3.01K

If you invest $100 $289.52 back +$189.52 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $7.26K
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $243.89
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.78K

If you invest $100 $103.36 back +$3.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 41.1%
Current value: $4.27K
Potential payout: $10.4K
Potential profit: $6.13K
Multiplier: 2.43x
User PnL: $1.45K

If you invest $100 $243.31 back +$143.31 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $2.7K
Potential payout: $7.2K
Potential profit: $4.5K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$918.91

If you invest $100 $266.67 back +$166.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $2.4K
Potential payout: $4.38K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $1.92K

If you invest $100 $181.98 back +$81.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $262.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $237.5

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

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