Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $14.66K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $8.17K
Potential payout: $34.77K
Potential profit: $26.6K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$2.59K

If you invest $100 $425.53 back +$325.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $15.69K
Potential payout: $37.81K
Potential profit: $22.12K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $573.88

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $8.98K
Potential payout: $20.64K
Potential profit: $11.66K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $245.02

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 5:22 PM

PnL: $2.46K
Volume: $26.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $2.79K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $4.19
User PnL: $129.62

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $2.65K
Potential payout: $2.81K
Potential profit: $158.64
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $47.37

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.3K
Volume: $17.59K
Win rate: 81.8%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $2.63K
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $721
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $679.2

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $1.61K
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $907.13
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $189.02

If you invest $100 $156.25 back +$56.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.97K
Volume: $40.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 0

PnL: $1.39K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $8.17K
Potential payout: $34.77K
Potential profit: $26.6K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$2.59K

If you invest $100 $425.53 back +$325.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $932.28
Potential profit: $932.28
User PnL: -$84.88

PnL: $1.3K
Volume: $1.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $2.09K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $74.66
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $105.58

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $527.41
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $414.24

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.13K
Volume: $10K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $243.25
Potential payout: $16.78K
Potential profit: $16.53K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$11.61

If you invest $100 $6.9K back +$6.8K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $209.1
Potential payout: $238.97
Potential profit: $29.87
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$5.97

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.05K
Volume: $66.99K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $43.67
Potential payout: $94.94
Potential profit: $51.27
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $8.79

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.66
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $72.35
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $0.08

If you invest $100 $2.82K back +$2.72K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.05K
Volume: $5.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $59.13
Potential payout: $438
Potential profit: $378.87
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $15.33

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Over position

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $32.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $67.5
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$11.5

If you invest $100 $307.69 back +$207.69 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.03K
Volume: $41.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $400.05
Potential payout: $400.86
Potential profit: $0.8
User PnL: $221.78

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $321.21
Potential payout: $321.38
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $66.91

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $979.63
Volume: $17.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $830.37

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $700.79
Potential payout: $700.79
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $510.15

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $956.05
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $15.69K
Potential payout: $37.81K
Potential profit: $22.12K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $573.88

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $8.98K
Potential payout: $20.64K
Potential profit: $11.66K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $245.02

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $936.39
Volume: $10.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $528.15
Potential payout: $528.41
Potential profit: $0.26
User PnL: $321.9

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $467.45
Potential payout: $467.69
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $208.97

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $2.65K
Potential payout: $2.81K
Potential profit: $158.64
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $47.37

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $2.63K
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $721
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $679.2

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $2.09K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $74.66
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $105.58

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $1.61K
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $907.13
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $189.02

If you invest $100 $156.25 back +$56.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $527.41
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $414.24

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $914.85
Potential payout: $936.39
Potential profit: $21.54
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $60.41

If you invest $100 $102.35 back +$2.35 estimated profit if it wins

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