Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $15.53K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $357.63K
Potential payout: $390.86K
Potential profit: $33.22K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $81.3K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $203.76K
Potential payout: $235.57K
Potential profit: $31.8K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $7.98K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $634.11K
Potential payout: $651.37K
Potential profit: $17.26K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $27.77K

If you invest $100 $102.72 back +$2.72 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 5:06 PM

PnL: $3.26K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $634.11K
Potential payout: $651.37K
Potential profit: $17.26K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $27.77K

If you invest $100 $102.72 back +$2.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $357.63K
Potential payout: $390.86K
Potential profit: $33.22K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $81.3K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.64K
Volume: $69.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $19.24
Potential payout: $160.31
Potential profit: $141.07
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $3.61

If you invest $100 $833.33 back +$733.33 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.44
Potential profit: $66.44
User PnL: -$12.63

PnL: $2.5K
Volume: $21.95K
Win rate: 77.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $783.86
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $901.87
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $13.45

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $157.46
Potential payout: $926.23
Potential profit: $768.77
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $44.76

If you invest $100 $588.24 back +$488.24 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.22K
Volume: $79.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $58.34K
Potential payout: $59.93K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.71K

If you invest $100 $102.72 back +$2.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $0.76
User PnL: $504.52

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.2K
Volume: $12.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $1.79K
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $881.48
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $346.81

If you invest $100 $149.25 back +$49.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $310.97
Potential payout: $311.13
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $0.78

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.1K
Volume: $25.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $0.57
User PnL: $475.58

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $669.23
Potential payout: $670.24
Potential profit: $1.01
User PnL: $193.55

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $968.62
Volume: $9.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $119
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $81
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $58.88

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 52.4%
Current value: $52.37
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $47.63
Multiplier: 1.91x
User PnL: $1.37

If you invest $100 $190.95 back +$90.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $934.43
Volume: $3.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.88
Potential profit: $12.88
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$3.3

PnL: $902.04
Volume: $37.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $517.05
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $619.32
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $17.05

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $274.64
Potential payout: $274.91
Potential profit: $0.27
User PnL: $54.47

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $815.92
Volume: $11.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $604.33
Potential payout: $605.54
Potential profit: $1.21
User PnL: $260.63

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $388.45
Potential payout: $388.64
Potential profit: $0.19
User PnL: $233.69

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $801.36
Volume: $0
Win rate: 26.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $7.98K
Potential profit: $6.74K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $936.63

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $302.59
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$97.41

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $687.42
Volume: $27.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.47K
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $18.65
User PnL: $578.23

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $549.6
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.4K

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $549.6
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.4K

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $1.79K
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $881.48
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $346.81

If you invest $100 $149.25 back +$49.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $7.98K
Potential profit: $6.74K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $936.63

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $783.86
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $901.87
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $13.45

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $517.05
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $619.32
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $17.05

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $488.25
Potential payout: $525
Potential profit: $36.75
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $21.65

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

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