Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $7.71K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $7.48K
Potential payout: $34.77K
Potential profit: $27.29K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$3.28K

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $16.26K
Potential payout: $37.81K
Potential profit: $21.55K
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $1.14K

If you invest $100 $232.56 back +$132.56 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $8.98K
Potential payout: $20.64K
Potential profit: $11.66K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $245.02

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 10:35 AM

PnL: $1.62K
Volume: $61.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.21K
Potential payout: $4.21K
Potential profit: $2.11
User PnL: $3.97K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $865.75
Potential payout: $866.18
Potential profit: $0.43
User PnL: $613.28

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.22K
Volume: $29.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $606.73
Potential payout: $873.12
Potential profit: $266.39
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $27.3

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $552.71
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $480.39
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $63.36

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $829.07
Volume: $9.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $502.43
Potential payout: $502.68
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $470.69

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $132
Potential profit: $130.88
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.33

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $695.41
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $7.48K
Potential payout: $34.77K
Potential profit: $27.29K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$3.28K

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $932.28
Potential profit: $932.28
User PnL: -$84.88

PnL: $688.75
Volume: $9.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $571.13
Potential payout: $575.45
Potential profit: $4.32
User PnL: $503.63

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $337.33
Potential payout: $337.5
Potential profit: $0.17
User PnL: $269.83

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $620.27
Volume: $23.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: $102.17

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: $60.63

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $566.25
Volume: $9.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $918.23
Potential payout: $918.69
Potential profit: $0.46
User PnL: $875.05

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $914.68
Potential payout: $915.14
Potential profit: $0.46
User PnL: $120.22

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $496.99
Volume: $5.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $448.27
Potential payout: $448.95
Potential profit: $0.67
User PnL: $250.44

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $429.52
Potential payout: $429.73
Potential profit: $0.21
User PnL: $256

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $483.61
Volume: $8.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $7.79K
Potential payout: $7.8K
Potential profit: $7.8
User PnL: $102.41

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.46K
Potential payout: $4.46K
Potential profit: $2.23
User PnL: $477.74

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $480.9
Volume: $7.51K
Win rate: 78%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $474.1
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $16.26K
Potential payout: $37.81K
Potential profit: $21.55K
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $1.14K

If you invest $100 $232.56 back +$132.56 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $8.98K
Potential payout: $20.64K
Potential profit: $11.66K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $245.02

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $466.81
Volume: $4.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.87
Potential profit: $8.87
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$215.87

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $606.73
Potential payout: $873.12
Potential profit: $266.39
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $27.3

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $552.71
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $480.39
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $63.36

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

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