Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $11.57K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $5.21K
Potential payout: $20.04K
Potential profit: $14.83K
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$651.62

If you invest $100 $384.62 back +$284.62 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $35.85
Potential payout: $551.59
Potential profit: $515.74
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$20.93

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $144.91K
Potential payout: $156.66K
Potential profit: $11.75K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $8.24K

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 7:35 PM

PnL: $1.86K
Volume: $28.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $441.63
Potential payout: $490.7
Potential profit: $49.07
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $147.97

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $289.9
Potential payout: $417.18
Potential profit: $127.28
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $170.02

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.69K
Volume: $25.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.6K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $144.91K
Potential payout: $156.66K
Potential profit: $11.75K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $8.24K

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $105.56K
Potential payout: $112K
Potential profit: $6.44K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.21K
Volume: $3.6K
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.75K
Potential payout: $2.75K
Potential profit: $1.38
User PnL: $1.63K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $33.34
Potential payout: $202.04
Potential profit: $168.7
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$4.66

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.09K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $7.7K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $2.3K
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$200

If you invest $100 $129.87 back +$29.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $5.21K
Potential payout: $20.04K
Potential profit: $14.83K
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$651.62

If you invest $100 $384.62 back +$284.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $988.93
Volume: $48.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.54K
Potential payout: $11.55K
Potential profit: $5.77
User PnL: $2.47K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $11.35K
Potential payout: $14.02K
Potential profit: $2.67K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $97.84

If you invest $100 $123.53 back +$23.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $850.34
Volume: $1.06K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $0.52
User PnL: $847.55

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.97
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $15.97

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $797.67
Volume: $6.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $0.23

If you invest $100 $178.57 back +$78.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $612.41
Potential profit: $612.1
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$20.11

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $762.09
Volume: $3.43K
Open positions: 3

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard position

Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$190

Under position

Shimabukuro vs. Kyrgios: Match O/U 23.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$255

PnL: $709.27
Volume: $66
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $25.29K
Potential payout: $26.84K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $198.02

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $14.82K
Potential payout: $16.03K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$27.5

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $699.56
Volume: $15.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $18.59
Potential payout: $107.21
Potential profit: $88.62
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: $4.59

If you invest $100 $576.7 back +$476.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $296.85
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.35

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $698.24
Volume: $13.79K
Win rate: 53.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $167.64
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $848.36
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$93.5

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $35.85
Potential payout: $551.59
Potential profit: $515.74
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$20.93

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $13.02K
Potential payout: $14.55K
Potential profit: $1.53K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $222.21

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $11.35K
Potential payout: $14.02K
Potential profit: $2.67K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $97.84

If you invest $100 $123.53 back +$23.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $10.45K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.24K

If you invest $100 $121.29 back +$21.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $7.7K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $2.3K
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$200

If you invest $100 $129.87 back +$29.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $5.21K
Potential payout: $20.04K
Potential profit: $14.83K
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$651.62

If you invest $100 $384.62 back +$284.62 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $2.53K
Potential payout: $2.57K
Potential profit: $41.09
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $472.52

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

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