Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $10.26K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $221.4K
Potential payout: $258.95K
Potential profit: $37.55K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $5.52K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $345.27K
Potential payout: $373.27K
Potential profit: $28K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $81.38K

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $648.56K
Potential payout: $662.81K
Potential profit: $14.25K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $31.07K

If you invest $100 $102.2 back +$2.2 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 9:26 AM

PnL: $2.68K
Volume: $13.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $9.17K
Potential payout: $10.13K
Potential profit: $962.82
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.88K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 30.1%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $4.04K
Potential profit: $2.83K
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $610.73

If you invest $100 $332.78 back +$232.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.1K
Volume: $46.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $6.63
User PnL: $625.28

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $3.16
User PnL: $306.89

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.09K
Volume: $24.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Ends Nov 2, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $2.98K
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $97.05
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $550.63

If you invest $100 $103.25 back +$3.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $2.85K
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $174.02
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$11.17

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1K
Volume: $6.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

T1 position

LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $0.75
User PnL: $454.25

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.46K
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $0.73
User PnL: $585.28

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $994.22
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $648.56K
Potential payout: $662.81K
Potential profit: $14.25K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $31.07K

If you invest $100 $102.2 back +$2.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $345.27K
Potential payout: $373.27K
Potential profit: $28K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $81.38K

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $945.93
Volume: $21.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $5.65K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.35K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $649

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5.65K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$650

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $711.07
Volume: $20.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $452.32
Potential payout: $994.1
Potential profit: $541.78
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $48.91

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $383.79
Potential payout: $791.32
Potential profit: $407.53
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $133.97

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $631.1
Volume: $2.84K
Win rate: 78%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.7%
Current value: $925.08
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 3.06x
User PnL: $117.08

If you invest $100 $306.28 back +$206.28 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $482.2
Potential payout: $9.74K
Potential profit: $9.26K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$1.32

If you invest $100 $2.02K back +$1.92K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $576.55
Volume: $8.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $540.46
Volume: $4.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.33K
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $1.17
User PnL: $607.05

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $1.89K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $612.5
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$112.5

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $539.98
Volume: $8.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $406.7
Potential payout: $719.95
Potential profit: $313.25
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $6.7

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 30.1%
Current value: $350.07
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $814.89
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $272.21

If you invest $100 $332.78 back +$232.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $526.98
Volume: $21.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C or higher on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $821.91
Potential profit: $821.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.41

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $588.16
Potential profit: $587.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.29

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $9.17K
Potential payout: $10.13K
Potential profit: $962.82
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.88K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $5.65K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.35K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $649

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5.65K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$650

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Ends Nov 2, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $2.98K
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $97.05
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $550.63

If you invest $100 $103.25 back +$3.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $2.85K
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $174.02
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$11.17

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $2.83K
Potential payout: $2.98K
Potential profit: $147.33
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $72.95

If you invest $100 $105.21 back +$5.21 estimated profit if it wins

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