Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $11.72K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $5.21K
Potential payout: $20.04K
Potential profit: $14.83K
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$651.62

If you invest $100 $384.62 back +$284.62 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $144.91K
Potential payout: $156.66K
Potential profit: $11.75K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $8.24K

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $103.94K
Potential payout: $111.16K
Potential profit: $7.23K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $5.42K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 8:51 PM

PnL: $2.01K
Volume: $29.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 54.6%
Current value: $720.95
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $599.47
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $660.96

If you invest $100 $183.15 back +$83.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $474.01
Potential payout: $490.7
Potential profit: $16.68
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $180.36

If you invest $100 $103.52 back +$3.52 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.69K
Volume: $25.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.6K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $144.91K
Potential payout: $156.66K
Potential profit: $11.75K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $8.24K

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $105.67K
Potential payout: $112K
Potential profit: $6.33K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.42K

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.22K
Volume: $3.6K
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.75K
Potential payout: $2.75K
Potential profit: $1.38
User PnL: $1.63K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $37.38
Potential payout: $202.04
Potential profit: $164.66
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.62

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.04K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $7.75K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$150

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $5.21K
Potential payout: $20.04K
Potential profit: $14.83K
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$651.62

If you invest $100 $384.62 back +$284.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $933.52
Volume: $52.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.3%
Current value: $12.21K
Potential payout: $15.03K
Potential profit: $2.82K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $145.33

If you invest $100 $123.08 back +$23.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.6%
Current value: $10.46K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.25K

If you invest $100 $121.14 back +$21.14 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $850.34
Volume: $1.06K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $0.52
User PnL: $847.55

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.97
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $15.97

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $806.67
Volume: $43.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $5.55K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.45K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $550

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $4.45K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5.55K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$550

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $797.92
Volume: $6.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 38.1%
Current value: $66.21
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $107.79
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $36.16

If you invest $100 $262.81 back +$162.81 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $44.79
Potential payout: $137.8
Potential profit: $93.02
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $24.57

If you invest $100 $307.69 back +$207.69 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $762.09
Volume: $3.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard position

Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$190

Under position

Shimabukuro vs. Kyrgios: Match O/U 23.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$255

PnL: $711.46
Volume: $3.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $194.64
Potential payout: $205.97
Potential profit: $11.33
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $161.01

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $142.74
Potential payout: $142.81
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $102.91

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $699.17
Volume: $15.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $18.59
Potential payout: $107.21
Potential profit: $88.62
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: $4.59

If you invest $100 $576.7 back +$476.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $3.51
Potential payout: $87.79
Potential profit: $84.28
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: $0.53

If you invest $100 $2.5K back +$2.4K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.3%
Current value: $12.21K
Potential payout: $15.03K
Potential profit: $2.82K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $145.33

If you invest $100 $123.08 back +$23.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.6%
Current value: $10.46K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.25K

If you invest $100 $121.14 back +$21.14 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 77.6%
Current value: $7.84K
Potential payout: $10.1K
Potential profit: $2.26K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$284.68

If you invest $100 $128.87 back +$28.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $7.75K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$150

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $5.55K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.45K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $550

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $5.21K
Potential payout: $20.04K
Potential profit: $14.83K
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$651.62

If you invest $100 $384.62 back +$284.62 estimated profit if it wins

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