Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $3.69K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $412.46
Potential payout: $11.3K
Potential profit: $10.89K
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$828.37

If you invest $100 $2.74K back +$2.64K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $4.53K
Potential payout: $27.04K
Potential profit: $22.51K
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: $1.52K

If you invest $100 $597.01 back +$497.01 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.9%
Current value: $12.32K
Potential payout: $20.93K
Potential profit: $8.61K
Multiplier: 1.70x
User PnL: $1.85K

If you invest $100 $169.92 back +$69.92 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 4:12 AM

PnL: $1.07K
Volume: $2.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $7.72K
Potential profit: $5.87K
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $354

If you invest $100 $416.67 back +$316.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $192.34
Potential payout: $267.13
Potential profit: $74.8
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$7.66

If you invest $100 $138.89 back +$38.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $402.18
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $3.1K
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $134.38
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $573.7

If you invest $100 $104.33 back +$4.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $2.3K
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $11.55
User PnL: $415.39

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $343.8
Volume: $3.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 28.1%
Current value: $30.13
Potential payout: $107.08
Potential profit: $76.95
Multiplier: 3.55x
User PnL: $10.13

If you invest $100 $355.37 back +$255.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $26.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $73.5
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $8.1

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $331.84
Volume: $1.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $410.54
Potential payout: $414.27
Potential profit: $3.73
User PnL: $203.05

If you invest $100 $100.91 back +$0.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $386.03
Potential payout: $386.22
Potential profit: $0.19
User PnL: $44.73

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $300.95
Volume: $930.17
Win rate: 37%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $2.88K
Potential payout: $4.39K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$1.13K

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $539.96
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$34.91

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $296.09
Volume: $201.03
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.9%
Current value: $12.32K
Potential payout: $20.93K
Potential profit: $8.61K
Multiplier: 1.70x
User PnL: $1.85K

If you invest $100 $169.92 back +$69.92 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $4.6K
Potential payout: $6.08K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $99.71

If you invest $100 $132.38 back +$32.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $276.62
Volume: $13.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $2.88K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $375

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.88K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$375

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $239.1
Volume: $2.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $327.02
Potential payout: $778.63
Potential profit: $451.61
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $110.28

If you invest $100 $238.1 back +$138.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $325.5
Potential payout: $868
Potential profit: $542.5
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $47.84

If you invest $100 $266.67 back +$166.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $226.15
Volume: $0
Win rate: 28%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $698.25
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $336.2
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $367.96

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $115.59
Potential payout: $428.12
Potential profit: $312.53
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$29.31

If you invest $100 $370.37 back +$270.37 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $203.95
Volume: $2.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $983.66
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $215.93
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $811.76

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $724.78
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $473.2
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $484.22

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $201.04
Volume: $6.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $412.46
Potential payout: $11.3K
Potential profit: $10.89K
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$828.37

If you invest $100 $2.74K back +$2.64K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $379.81
Potential payout: $380
Potential profit: $0.19
User PnL: $116.25

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $195.51
Volume: $976.73
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $629.5
Potential payout: $637.79
Potential profit: $8.29
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $224.36

If you invest $100 $101.32 back +$1.32 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $129.78
Potential payout: $129.84
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $9.8

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $3.1K
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $134.38
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $573.7

If you invest $100 $104.33 back +$4.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $2.88K
Potential payout: $4.39K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$1.13K

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $2.88K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $375

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $2.14K
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $363.74
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $467.14

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.88K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$375

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $7.72K
Potential profit: $5.87K
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $354

If you invest $100 $416.67 back +$316.67 estimated profit if it wins

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