Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $3.59K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $5.7K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $14.3K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $1.9K

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $65.45K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $4.55K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $12.39K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $12.32K
Potential payout: $16.88K
Potential profit: $4.56K
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $1.37K

If you invest $100 $136.99 back +$36.99 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 3:40 AM

PnL: $573.43
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $65.45K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $4.55K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $12.39K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $9.76K
Potential payout: $11.01K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$52.34

If you invest $100 $112.8 back +$12.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $550.97
Volume: $5.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $705.34
Potential payout: $865.56
Potential profit: $160.22
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $78.74

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $594.61
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $821.12
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $157.45

If you invest $100 $238.1 back +$138.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $455
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $445.33
Potential payout: $446
Potential profit: $0.67
User PnL: $386.27

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $189.91
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $120.13

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $413.26
Volume: $2.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 26.3%
Current value: $390.73
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 3.80x
User PnL: $362.43

If you invest $100 $380.23 back +$280.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $243.45
Potential payout: $243.82
Potential profit: $0.37
User PnL: $193.35

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $351.03
Volume: $6.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $183.92
Potential payout: $518.08
Potential profit: $334.16
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $43.36

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $149.53
Potential payout: $149.75
Potential profit: $0.22
User PnL: $33.39

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $280.57
Volume: $5.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $575.14
Potential payout: $576
Potential profit: $0.86
User PnL: $203.84

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $530.73
Potential payout: $531
Potential profit: $0.27
User PnL: $142.42

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $256.35
Volume: $414.75
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $555.55
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $296.56

If you invest $100 $363.64 back +$263.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $87.16
Potential payout: $229.67
Potential profit: $142.51
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: $37.96

If you invest $100 $263.5 back +$163.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $253.5
Volume: $2.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $12.32K
Potential payout: $16.88K
Potential profit: $4.56K
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $1.37K

If you invest $100 $136.99 back +$36.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $5.7K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $14.3K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $1.9K

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $227.29
Volume: $4.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $131.36
Potential payout: $149.27
Potential profit: $17.91
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $32.46

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $35.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $64.5
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $25.5

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $223.84
Volume: $1.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $222.65
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85.9%
Current value: $858.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $141.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$45.5

If you invest $100 $116.48 back +$16.48 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $148.26
Potential payout: $869.57
Potential profit: $721.3
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: $48.26

If you invest $100 $586.51 back +$486.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $222.56
Volume: $2.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $79.19
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $346.37

If you invest $100 $107.87 back +$7.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to a different date?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $7.59K
Potential payout: $7.7K
Potential profit: $107.76
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $48.61

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $5.7K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $14.3K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $1.9K

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $79.19
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $346.37

If you invest $100 $107.87 back +$7.87 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85.9%
Current value: $858.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $141.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$45.5

If you invest $100 $116.48 back +$16.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $795.49
Potential payout: $813.39
Potential profit: $17.89
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $307.46

If you invest $100 $102.25 back +$2.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $705.34
Potential payout: $865.56
Potential profit: $160.22
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $78.74

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

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