Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $11.72K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $106.15K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $460K
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $57.51K

If you invest $100 $533.33 back +$433.33 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $127.53K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $90.47K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$23.56K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $65.97K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $26.95K
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $38.94K

If you invest $100 $140.85 back +$40.85 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 9:46 PM

PnL: $2.05K
Volume: $101.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $651.61
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $720.2
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $72.33

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $584.17
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $806.72
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $52.64

If you invest $100 $238.1 back +$138.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.05K
Volume: $4.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 87.6%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $266.24
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.66K

If you invest $100 $114.22 back +$14.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Seoul have between 150-160mm of precipitation in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $881.94
Potential payout: $891.3
Potential profit: $9.36
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $614.55

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.5K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $127.53K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $90.47K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$23.56K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $106.15K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $460K
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $57.51K

If you invest $100 $533.33 back +$433.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $987.21
Volume: $155.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $844.88
Potential payout: $845.3
Potential profit: $0.42
User PnL: $653.74

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $620.18
Potential payout: $623.3
Potential profit: $3.12
User PnL: $389.78

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $877.57
Volume: $21.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $914.68
Potential payout: $915.14
Potential profit: $0.46
User PnL: $120.22

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $203.6
Potential payout: $203.8
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $39.51

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $871.99
Volume: $24.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $865.36
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $2.76K
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $273.27
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$36.24

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.7B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $245.22
Potential profit: $240.32
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$11.53

If you invest $100 $5K back +$4.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $856.92
Volume: $1.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $193.69
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.09K

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $994.92
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $16.18
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $212.76

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $835.73
Volume: $5.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $135.34
Potential payout: $136.02
Potential profit: $0.68
User PnL: $106.62

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $62.04
Potential payout: $62.07
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $58.14

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $827.39
Volume: $9.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $132
Potential profit: $131.08
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $0.13

If you invest $100 $14.29K back +$14.19K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.88
Potential profit: $12.88
User PnL: -$1.03

PnL: $817.94
Volume: $3.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $26.21
Potential profit: $25.95
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $0.01

If you invest $100 $10K back +$9.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $43
User PnL: -$22.61

PnL: $728.13
Volume: $35.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $864.25
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $397.43
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $38.08

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $566.1
Potential payout: $786.25
Potential profit: $220.15
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$48.43

If you invest $100 $138.89 back +$38.89 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $2.76K
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $273.27
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$36.24

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 87.6%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $266.24
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.66K

If you invest $100 $114.22 back +$14.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $994.92
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $16.18
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $212.76

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Seoul have between 150-160mm of precipitation in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $881.94
Potential payout: $891.3
Potential profit: $9.36
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $614.55

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $864.25
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $397.43
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $38.08

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $651.61
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $720.2
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $72.33

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

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