Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.55K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $7.41K
Potential profit: $5.59K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$17.68

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $3.69K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $990

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $543.61
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $638.15
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $343.61

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 5:00 AM

PnL: $1.04K
Volume: $8.81K
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $2.14K
Potential payout: $3.19K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $666.45

If you invest $100 $149.25 back +$49.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $1.7K
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $818.93
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $277.21

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $799.53
Volume: $5.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $2.79K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $4.19
User PnL: $129.62

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $2.4K
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $26.69
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $100.89

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $711.69
Volume: $1.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $1.6K
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $41.03
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $943.55

If you invest $100 $102.56 back +$2.56 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $28.8
Potential payout: $117.56
Potential profit: $88.76
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.4

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $647.31
Volume: $8.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $992.77
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $26.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $721.59

If you invest $100 $102.67 back +$2.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $543.61
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $638.15
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $343.61

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $503.65
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $6.41K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $595
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $735

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $3.69K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $990

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $395.81
Volume: $11.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $358.89
Potential payout: $387.98
Potential profit: $29.1
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $110.64

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $338.2
Potential payout: $338.37
Potential profit: $0.17
User PnL: $142.55

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $379.41
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $3.82K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $46.65

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $7.41K
Potential profit: $5.59K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$17.68

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $370.2
Volume: $2.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $546.87
Potential payout: $548.24
Potential profit: $1.37
User PnL: $91.31

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $516.09
Potential payout: $527.43
Potential profit: $11.34
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $10.52

If you invest $100 $102.2 back +$2.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $366.25
Volume: $5.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $34.84
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $108.53

If you invest $100 $103.31 back +$3.31 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $991.19
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $31.71
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $43.12

If you invest $100 $103.2 back +$3.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $342.5
Volume: $272.23
Win rate: 74%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $2.78K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $225
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $535

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $535.2
Potential payout: $6.86K
Potential profit: $6.33K
Multiplier: 12.82x
User PnL: -$53.23

If you invest $100 $1.28K back +$1.18K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $327.54
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $407.39
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 4.45x
User PnL: $82.39

If you invest $100 $445.43 back +$345.43 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $6.49
Potential payout: $158.2
Potential profit: $151.71
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$9.33

If you invest $100 $2.44K back +$2.34K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $326.37
Volume: $1.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $343.87
Potential payout: $577.94
Potential profit: $234.06
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$103.16

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $316.12
Potential payout: $331.54
Potential profit: $15.42
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$2.12

If you invest $100 $104.88 back +$4.88 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $2.78K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $225
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $535

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $3.82K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $46.65

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $2.4K
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $26.69
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $100.89

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $2.14K
Potential payout: $3.19K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $666.45

If you invest $100 $149.25 back +$49.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $7.41K
Potential profit: $5.59K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$17.68

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $1.7K
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $818.93
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $277.21

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

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