Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $11.84K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $106.15K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $460K
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $57.51K

If you invest $100 $533.33 back +$433.33 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $127.53K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $90.47K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$23.56K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $65.97K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $26.95K
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $38.94K

If you invest $100 $140.85 back +$40.85 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 9:24 PM

PnL: $2.27K
Volume: $4.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 87.6%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $266.24
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.66K

If you invest $100 $114.22 back +$14.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Seoul have between 150-160mm of precipitation in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $881.94
Potential payout: $891.3
Potential profit: $9.36
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $614.55

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.7K
Volume: $100.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $651.61
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $720.2
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $72.33

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $591.13
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $799.76
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $59.59

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.46K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $127.53K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $90.47K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$23.56K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $106.15K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $460K
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $57.51K

If you invest $100 $533.33 back +$433.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.27K
Volume: $151.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $844.88
Potential payout: $845.3
Potential profit: $0.42
User PnL: $653.74

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $615.82
Potential payout: $623.3
Potential profit: $7.48
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $385.42

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.01K
Volume: $50.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $0.63
User PnL: $169.58

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $5.79
User PnL: $61.03

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $856.48
Volume: $21.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $914.68
Potential payout: $915.14
Potential profit: $0.46
User PnL: $120.22

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $203.6
Potential payout: $203.8
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $39.51

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $839.43
Volume: $23.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $827.45
Volume: $9.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $132
Potential profit: $131.01
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.2

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.88
Potential profit: $12.88
User PnL: -$1.03

PnL: $822.43
Volume: $5.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $135.07
Potential payout: $136.02
Potential profit: $0.95
User PnL: $106.35

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $62.04
Potential payout: $62.07
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $58.14

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $790.02
Volume: $3.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $26.21
Potential profit: $25.95
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $0.01

If you invest $100 $10K back +$9.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $43
User PnL: -$22.61

PnL: $724.24
Volume: $5.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.28K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $520.38
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $943.74

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $702.98
Volume: $10.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $671.7
Potential payout: $672.04
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $13.7

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $401.11
Potential payout: $401.31
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $112.05

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 87.6%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $266.24
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.66K

If you invest $100 $114.22 back +$14.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $520.38
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $943.74

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $28.88
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $38.58

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $919.02
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $236.98
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $699.38

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Seoul have between 150-160mm of precipitation in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $881.94
Potential payout: $891.3
Potential profit: $9.36
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $614.55

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $651.61
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $720.2
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $72.33

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

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