Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $10.1K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $208.48K
Potential payout: $235.57K
Potential profit: $27.09K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $12.69K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $349.01K
Potential payout: $373.27K
Potential profit: $24.26K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $85.11K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $649.89K
Potential payout: $662.81K
Potential profit: $12.92K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $32.39K

If you invest $100 $101.99 back +$1.99 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 5:08 AM

PnL: $1.99K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $649.89K
Potential payout: $662.81K
Potential profit: $12.92K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $32.39K

If you invest $100 $101.99 back +$1.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $349.01K
Potential payout: $373.27K
Potential profit: $24.26K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $85.11K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.35K
Volume: $184.66
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 29.3%
Current value: $822.48
Potential payout: $2.81K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 3.41x
User PnL: $784.41

If you invest $100 $341.3 back +$241.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $799.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $200.5
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $299.5

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.28K
Volume: $9.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $5.65K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.35K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $649

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5.65K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$650

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.2K
Volume: $31.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.05K
Volume: $9.74K
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $73.93
Potential payout: $227.83
Potential profit: $153.9
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$46.06

If you invest $100 $308.17 back +$208.17 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $33.05
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $66.94
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $16.85

If you invest $100 $302.57 back +$202.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $843.32
Volume: $6.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $777.96
Potential payout: $879.55
Potential profit: $101.59
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $710.44

If you invest $100 $113.06 back +$13.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 67.6%
Current value: $245.14
Potential payout: $362.9
Potential profit: $117.76
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $200.14

If you invest $100 $148.04 back +$48.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $640.73
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $670.12
Potential payout: $2.59K
Potential profit: $1.92K
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $491.6

If you invest $100 $386.85 back +$286.85 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $455.27
Potential payout: $884.02
Potential profit: $428.75
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $266.24

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $598.73
Volume: $5.28K
Win rate: 94.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $50.98
Potential payout: $157.11
Potential profit: $106.13
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$49.02

If you invest $100 $308.17 back +$208.17 estimated profit if it wins

Netherlands position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.36
Potential profit: $5.36
User PnL: -$3

PnL: $585.71
Volume: $14.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.42K
Potential payout: $6.42K
Potential profit: $3.21
User PnL: $3.22

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.58K
Potential payout: $2.58K
Potential profit: $1.29
User PnL: $9.68

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $561.04
Volume: $12.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $371.2
Potential payout: $371.39
Potential profit: $0.19
User PnL: $104.77

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $308.54
Potential payout: $308.69
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: $42.99

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $528.49
Volume: $11.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $766.1
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $566.24
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $119.97

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $605.9
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $697.12
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $70.06

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $502.69
Volume: $90.63
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 34.3%
Current value: $346.31
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $663.33
Multiplier: 2.92x
User PnL: $320.57

If you invest $100 $291.55 back +$191.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $105.27
Potential payout: $204.4
Potential profit: $99.13
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $75.98

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $5.65K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.35K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $649

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5.65K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$650

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 29.3%
Current value: $822.48
Potential payout: $2.81K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 3.41x
User PnL: $784.41

If you invest $100 $341.3 back +$241.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $799.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $200.5
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $299.5

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $798.19
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $326.81
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $786.93

If you invest $100 $140.94 back +$40.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $777.96
Potential payout: $879.55
Potential profit: $101.59
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $710.44

If you invest $100 $113.06 back +$13.06 estimated profit if it wins

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