Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $6.39K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $3.35K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.65K
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $597.01 back +$497.01 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.8%
Current value: $7.73K
Potential payout: $21.61K
Potential profit: $13.89K
Multiplier: 2.80x
User PnL: $3.27K

If you invest $100 $279.72 back +$179.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $2.5K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$80

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 6:32 AM

PnL: $1.18K
Volume: $6.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $414.43
Potential payout: $429.24
Potential profit: $14.81
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $142.18

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $366.8
Potential payout: $379.91
Potential profit: $13.11
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $9.25

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.14K
Volume: $6.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $3.37K
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $203.52
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.84K

If you invest $100 $106.04 back +$6.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $262.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $237.5

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $630.79
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.8%
Current value: $7.73K
Potential payout: $21.61K
Potential profit: $13.89K
Multiplier: 2.80x
User PnL: $3.27K

If you invest $100 $279.72 back +$179.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $3.35K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.65K
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $597.01 back +$497.01 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $609.3
Volume: $892.64
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.8%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $2.7K
Multiplier: 2.80x
User PnL: $502.11

If you invest $100 $279.72 back +$179.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 87.3%
Current value: $872.99
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $127
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $673.12

If you invest $100 $114.55 back +$14.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $525.85
Volume: $3.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $12.15
Potential payout: $14.55
Potential profit: $2.4
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $8.06

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $121.87
Potential profit: $112.12
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$2.16

If you invest $100 $1.25K back +$1.15K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $524.62
Volume: $6.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.08K
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $1.04
User PnL: $1.04

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $0.67
User PnL: $0.67

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $487
Volume: $17.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $774.35
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $646.48
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $110.39

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $573.95
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $609.45
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $91.93

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $461.25
Volume: $1.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $88.27
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $155.2

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $208.28
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $59.32

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $450.4
Volume: $4.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.24K
Potential payout: $3.25K
Potential profit: $1.62
User PnL: $396.86

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $254.37
Potential payout: $254.5
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $4.96

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $383.2
Volume: $4.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $861.71
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $387.33
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $646.59

If you invest $100 $144.95 back +$44.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Norway?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $249.87
Potential payout: $260.01
Potential profit: $10.14
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.26

If you invest $100 $104.06 back +$4.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $352.38
Volume: $10.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $701.88
Potential payout: $702.23
Potential profit: $0.35
User PnL: $636.01

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $678.28
Potential payout: $682.72
Potential profit: $4.44
User PnL: $514.82

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $336.63
Volume: $11.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $2.5K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$80

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $262.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $237.5

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $88.27
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $155.2

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $346.91
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $27.68

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $208.28
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $59.32

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $900.68
Potential payout: $929.98
Potential profit: $29.29
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $31.15

If you invest $100 $103.25 back +$3.25 estimated profit if it wins

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