Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $21.78K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $98.17K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $467.98K
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: $49.52K

If you invest $100 $576.7 back +$476.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $123.14K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $94.85K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$27.94K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $61.33K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $31.59K
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $34.29K

If you invest $100 $151.52 back +$51.52 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 11:04 PM

PnL: $3.69K
Volume: $28.18K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 2

No position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 77.1%
Current value: $7.78K
Potential payout: $10.09K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $2.36K

If you invest $100 $129.7 back +$29.7 estimated profit if it wins

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$218

PnL: $3.52K
Volume: $53.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $3.55K
Potential payout: $3.58K
Potential profit: $25.06
User PnL: $2.96K

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $83.67
Potential payout: $179.93
Potential profit: $96.26
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $2.45

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.11K
Volume: $29.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $701.1
Potential payout: $865.56
Potential profit: $164.46
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $74.5

If you invest $100 $123.46 back +$23.46 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $601.22
Potential payout: $733.2
Potential profit: $131.98
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $130.89

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.18K
Volume: $43.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $3.63K
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $161.32
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $749.68

If you invest $100 $104.44 back +$4.44 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.6%
Current value: $3.18K
Potential payout: $3.47K
Potential profit: $291.17
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $217.33

If you invest $100 $109.17 back +$9.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.77K
Volume: $17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $262.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $237.5

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $999.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $49.5

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.72K
Volume: $28.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $7.24K
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $262.65
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.76K

If you invest $100 $103.63 back +$3.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.24K
Potential payout: $5.24K
Potential profit: $7.87
User PnL: $18.36

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.6K
Volume: $17.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.7K
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $12.01
User PnL: $688.22

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $190.77
Potential payout: $200.5
Potential profit: $9.72
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $153.55

If you invest $100 $105.1 back +$5.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.48K
Volume: $5.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $7.25
User PnL: $1K

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.71
Potential payout: $617.82
Potential profit: $614.11
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$27.18

If you invest $100 $16.67K back +$16.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.36K
Volume: $25.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $328.3
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $2.7

If you invest $100 $426.44 back +$326.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $163.8
Potential payout: $5.2K
Potential profit: $5.04K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $70.41

If you invest $100 $3.17K back +$3.07K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.33K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $123.14K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $94.85K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$27.94K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $98.17K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $467.98K
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: $49.52K

If you invest $100 $576.7 back +$476.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.19K
Volume: $3.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $7.46K
Potential payout: $21.61K
Potential profit: $14.15K
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $3.01K

If you invest $100 $289.52 back +$189.52 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $3.47K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.53K
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: $1.41K

If you invest $100 $576.7 back +$476.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.17K
Volume: $73.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $556.28
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $602.64
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$73.74

If you invest $100 $208.33 back +$108.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $52.62
Potential payout: $114.4
Potential profit: $61.77
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$8.89

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 77.1%
Current value: $7.78K
Potential payout: $10.09K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $2.36K

If you invest $100 $129.7 back +$29.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $7.46K
Potential payout: $21.61K
Potential profit: $14.15K
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $3.01K

If you invest $100 $289.52 back +$189.52 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $7.24K
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $262.65
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.76K

If you invest $100 $103.63 back +$3.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $3.63K
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $161.32
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $749.68

If you invest $100 $104.44 back +$4.44 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.6%
Current value: $3.18K
Potential payout: $3.47K
Potential profit: $291.17
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $217.33

If you invest $100 $109.17 back +$9.17 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $2.78K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $199.6

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

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