Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $14.04K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $984.37
Potential payout: $31.25K
Potential profit: $30.27K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$15.63

If you invest $100 $3.17K back +$3.07K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.2%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $998.14
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $13.74

If you invest $100 $174.98 back +$74.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $2.09K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $412.5
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $87.5

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 7:39 PM

PnL: $1.98K
Volume: $29.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $3.63K
Potential payout: $3.76K
Potential profit: $137.41
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $766.1

If you invest $100 $103.79 back +$3.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $3.16K
Potential payout: $3.37K
Potential profit: $207.02
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $286.8

If you invest $100 $106.55 back +$6.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.94K
Volume: $5.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $2.09K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $412.5
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $87.5

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.2%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $998.14
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $13.74

If you invest $100 $174.98 back +$74.98 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.77K
Volume: $3.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.34K
Potential payout: $2.34K
Potential profit: $1.17
User PnL: $1.65K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $334.86
Potential payout: $335.02
Potential profit: $0.17
User PnL: $94.69

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.68K
Volume: $13.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $139.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.86K
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $88.5

If you invest $100 $2.15K back +$2.05K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $137.8
Potential payout: $5.2K
Potential profit: $5.06K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $44.41

If you invest $100 $3.77K back +$3.67K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.52K
Volume: $16.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $152.97
Potential payout: $168.66
Potential profit: $15.69
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $127.84

If you invest $100 $110.25 back +$10.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316.5
Potential profit: $316.5
User PnL: -$51.06

PnL: $1.3K
Volume: $49.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $1.61K
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $46.51
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $14.65

If you invest $100 $102.88 back +$2.88 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $28.7
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $34.27

If you invest $100 $102.2 back +$2.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.08K
Volume: $8.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $443.64
Potential payout: $501.29
Potential profit: $57.65
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $75.19

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

PnL: $1.02K
Volume: $16.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$4.1

PnL: $958.46
Volume: $51.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $171.94
Potential payout: $173.41
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: $3.72

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $171.42
Potential payout: $173.59
Potential profit: $2.17
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.04

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $792.8
Volume: $25.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.1K
Potential payout: $8.1K
Potential profit: $4.05
User PnL: $5.25

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $829.59
Potential payout: $830
Potential profit: $0.41
User PnL: $0.42

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $711.08
Volume: $33.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $89.42
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $325.72

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $698.52
Potential payout: $731.43
Potential profit: $32.91
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $101.26

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $701.68
Volume: $10.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $120.56
Potential payout: $128.94
Potential profit: $8.38
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.85

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $13.95
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $286.05
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$2.25

If you invest $100 $2.15K back +$2.05K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $2.09K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $412.5
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $87.5

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $1.61K
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $46.51
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $14.65

If you invest $100 $102.88 back +$2.88 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.2%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $998.14
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $13.74

If you invest $100 $174.98 back +$74.98 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $28.7
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $34.27

If you invest $100 $102.2 back +$2.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $89.42
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $325.72

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $19.07
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.36

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

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