Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $11.15K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $107.29K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $458.87K
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: $58.64K

If you invest $100 $527.7 back +$427.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $127.53K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $90.47K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$23.56K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $65.97K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $26.95K
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $38.94K

If you invest $100 $140.85 back +$40.85 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 4:45 PM

PnL: $1.74K
Volume: $90.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $679.96
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $751.54
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $75.48

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $641.74
Potential payout: $873.12
Potential profit: $231.38
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $62.31

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.55K
Volume: $85.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $842.76
Potential payout: $845.3
Potential profit: $2.54
User PnL: $651.63

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $788.23
Potential payout: $788.62
Potential profit: $0.39
User PnL: $618.06

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.51K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $127.53K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $90.47K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$23.56K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $107.29K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $458.87K
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: $58.64K

If you invest $100 $527.7 back +$427.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.1K
Volume: $3.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Seoul have between 150-160mm of precipitation in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $881.94
Potential payout: $891.3
Potential profit: $9.36
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $614.55

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $579
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $469.01

If you invest $100 $345.42 back +$245.42 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.06K
Volume: $7.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $377.77
Potential payout: $379.67
Potential profit: $1.9
User PnL: $249.38

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $304.83
Potential payout: $304.98
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: $195.3

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.05K
Volume: $42.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $0.63
User PnL: $169.58

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $33.17
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $33.66

If you invest $100 $103.25 back +$3.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $828.9
Volume: $9.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $132
Potential profit: $130.94
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: $0.26

If you invest $100 $12.5K back +$12.4K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.88
Potential profit: $12.88
User PnL: -$1.03

PnL: $827.29
Volume: $16.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $914.68
Potential payout: $915.14
Potential profit: $0.46
User PnL: $120.22

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $453.66
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $824.26
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $121.2

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $790.02
Volume: $3.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $43
User PnL: -$22.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$12.7

PnL: $695.13
Volume: $4.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $62.04
Potential payout: $62.07
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $58.14

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $37.51
Potential payout: $227.31
Potential profit: $189.81
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$17.66

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $620.27
Volume: $24.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $0.62
User PnL: $11.82

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $887.91
Potential payout: $888.35
Potential profit: $0.44
User PnL: $2.29

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $581.18
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $8.25K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $350

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $7.4K
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $101.22
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $782.74

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $8.25K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $350

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $7.4K
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $101.22
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $782.74

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $7.1K
Potential payout: $7.98K
Potential profit: $877.39
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $245.22

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $33.17
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $33.66

If you invest $100 $103.25 back +$3.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1K
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $69.83
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $44.8

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Seoul have between 150-160mm of precipitation in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $881.94
Potential payout: $891.3
Potential profit: $9.36
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $614.55

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

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