Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.94K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.41
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $207.58
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$6.99

If you invest $100 $8.7K back +$8.6K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $9.28
Potential payout: $159.98
Potential profit: $150.7
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: -$3.68

If you invest $100 $1.72K back +$1.62K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $9.6
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $50.39
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$3.6

If you invest $100 $625 back +$525 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 7:05 AM

PnL: $345.77
Volume: $1.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $208.33
Potential payout: $208.43
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $8.78

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $207.88
Potential payout: $210.3
Potential profit: $2.42
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $8.2

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $318.52
Volume: $5.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $312.27
Volume: $9.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $303.85
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $64.95
Potential payout: $67.17
Potential profit: $2.22
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $9.27

If you invest $100 $103.41 back +$3.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $48.7
Potential payout: $53.51
Potential profit: $4.82
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $9.1

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $301.49
Volume: $171.28
Win rate: 98%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $295.68
Volume: $20.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $362
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $38
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $14

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $315.13
Potential payout: $317.83
Potential profit: $2.7
User PnL: $60.4

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $284.73
Volume: $2.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $9.6
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $50.39
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$3.6

If you invest $100 $625 back +$525 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $9.28
Potential payout: $159.98
Potential profit: $150.7
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: -$3.68

If you invest $100 $1.72K back +$1.62K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $270.16
Volume: $725.08
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $108.37
Potential payout: $108.43
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $25.17

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $106.65
Potential payout: $165.35
Potential profit: $58.7
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$7.33

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $256.9
Volume: $2.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $651.39
Potential profit: $651.39
User PnL: -$16.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $638.62
Potential profit: $638.62
User PnL: -$16.96

PnL: $255.29
Volume: $0
Open positions: 2

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $353.29
Potential profit: $353.29
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

PnL: $241.16
Volume: $134.13
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$59.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.95
Potential profit: $99.95
User PnL: -$30.17

PnL: $237.7
Volume: $7.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $89
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$3.33

If you invest $100 $105.65 back +$5.65 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $5.33
User PnL: $51.13

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $310.73
Potential payout: $329.34
Potential profit: $18.61
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $47.26

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $207.88
Potential payout: $210.3
Potential profit: $2.42
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $8.2

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $106.65
Potential payout: $165.35
Potential profit: $58.7
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$7.33

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $106.32
Potential payout: $135.44
Potential profit: $29.12
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $52.99

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $64.95
Potential payout: $67.17
Potential profit: $2.22
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $9.27

If you invest $100 $103.41 back +$3.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $48.7
Potential payout: $53.51
Potential profit: $4.82
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $9.1

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

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