Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.34K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $31.43
Potential payout: $275.72
Potential profit: $244.28
Multiplier: 8.77x
User PnL: $13.87

If you invest $100 $877.19 back +$777.19 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $11.62
Potential payout: $101.04
Potential profit: $89.42
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$4.78

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.7
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.7

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 3:13 AM

PnL: $172.23
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $802.87
Potential profit: $802.87
User PnL: -$34.77

PnL: $157.98
Volume: $138.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.12
Potential profit: $53.12
User PnL: -$45.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.82
Potential profit: $56.82
User PnL: -$25

PnL: $142.8
Volume: $1.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will USA be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $3.54K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $464
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.52K

If you invest $100 $113.12 back +$13.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $3.25K
Potential payout: $6.31K
Potential profit: $3.06K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $183.45

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $140
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez be arrested in 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $41.88
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $25.13
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $39.19

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $35.15
Potential payout: $68.93
Potential profit: $33.78
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $32.4

If you invest $100 $196.08 back +$96.08 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $129.9
Volume: $271.15
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $129.58
Volume: $723.1
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.43
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.37

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $6.98
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.1

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $124.47
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $0.81
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$0.31

If you invest $100 $135.14 back +$35.14 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.7
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.7

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $115.05
Volume: $1.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $112.85
Potential payout: $347.24
Potential profit: $234.39
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $12.85

If you invest $100 $307.69 back +$207.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $82.09
Potential payout: $656.7
Potential profit: $574.61
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $6.97

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $114.63
Volume: $1.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $11.62
Potential payout: $101.04
Potential profit: $89.42
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$4.78

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or below on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $8.1
Potential payout: $55.89
Potential profit: $47.79
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2.6

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $111.7
Volume: $1.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $521.32
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $505.36

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $158.74
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $504.76

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $103.33
Volume: $183.75
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or below on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $8.55
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.45
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.05

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $8.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.9
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $1.65

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $103.07
Volume: $720.49
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$3.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.45
Potential profit: $2.45
User PnL: -$0.05

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $158.74
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $504.76

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $38.98
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $17.85

If you invest $100 $103.2 back +$3.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $112.85
Potential payout: $347.24
Potential profit: $234.39
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $12.85

If you invest $100 $307.69 back +$207.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $82.09
Potential payout: $656.7
Potential profit: $574.61
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $6.97

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez be arrested in 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $41.88
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $25.13
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $39.19

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $35.15
Potential payout: $68.93
Potential profit: $33.78
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $32.4

If you invest $100 $196.08 back +$96.08 estimated profit if it wins

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