Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $524.19
- Potential profit
- $523.93
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$47.39
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $912.77 WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $429
- Potential profit
- $428.79
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$38.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $225.22
- Potential profit
- $225.11
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$20.36
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #13
0x006cc834Cc092684F1B56626E23BEdB3835c16ea-1729683673397
0x006c...16ea Public
- PnL
- $109.87
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Toronto Blue Jays position
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.68K
- Potential profit
- $90.68K
- User PnL
- -$42.62K
Yes position
Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.95K
- Potential profit
- $76.95K
- User PnL
- -$1.97K
Rank #14
zthunderfury
0xc682...17bb Public @zthunderfury
- PnL
- $102.59
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $1.89K
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $25.92
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $933.92
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $519.97
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$9.03
Rank #15
0x5FfeA747575581E8d2Dc5E23C47aB98C1638e48b-1777529589397
0x5ffe...e48b Public
- PnL
- $101.19
- Volume
- $749.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $118.44
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $73.87
- Potential payout
- $83
- Potential profit
- $9.13
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Rank #16
Clicker1
0xc884...e17e Public
- PnL
- $100
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.98K
- Potential profit
- $3.98K
- User PnL
- -$1.91K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.86K
- Potential profit
- $227.86K
- User PnL
- -$75.44K
Rank #17
RobGGG
0x9254...3af8 Public
- PnL
- $92.71
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #18
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702
0x1f85...7b02 Public
- PnL
- $90.62
- Volume
- $1.07K
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #19
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023
0x1abc...45e7 Public
- PnL
- $84.44
- Volume
- $4.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $230.51
- Potential payout
- $230.86
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- User PnL
- $11.89
N
No position
Will Tunisia be the highest-scoring team in Group F during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $212.04
- Potential payout
- $213
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- User PnL
- $0.27
Rank #20
ImperialAstronomicalBureau
0xfc7b...7a75 Public @rockzhushan
- PnL
- $77.17
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 42%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #21
0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a
0xe639...082a Public @snickerfrintz
- PnL
- $77.15
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #22
Oliver1978
0x565e...875d Public
- PnL
- $77.03
- Volume
- $166.28
- Win rate
- 86%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $280.74
- Potential payout
- $285.88
- Potential profit
- $5.15
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $22.58
No position
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $235.34
- Potential payout
- $301.71
- Potential profit
- $66.38
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $6.92
Rank #23
0xD302c20B7618cdA8077D3011B9501A836D758Cbf-1777250857426
0xd302...8cbf Public
- PnL
- $76.51
- Volume
- $2.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $524.19
- Potential profit
- $523.93
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$47.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $429
- Potential profit
- $428.79
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$38.79
Rank #24
Erasmus.
0xc658...b784 Public
- PnL
- $74.14
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- User PnL
- -$656.39
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $924.73
- Potential profit
- $924.73
- User PnL
- -$166.55
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $235.34
- Potential payout
- $301.71
- Potential profit
- $66.38
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $6.92
No position
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $219.11
- Potential payout
- $229.19
- Potential profit
- $10.08
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $19.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $118.44
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $73.87
- Potential payout
- $83
- Potential profit
- $9.13
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $524.19
- Potential profit
- $523.93
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$47.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $429
- Potential profit
- $428.79
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$38.79
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