Yes position
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $111.36
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- -$39.93
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $11.06K WEATHER · WEEK · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $3.12
- Potential payout
- $37.15
- Potential profit
- $34.03
- Multiplier
- 11.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $3.79
- Potential payout
- $44.57
- Potential profit
- $40.78
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #13
gopfan2
0xf2f6...5817 Public @r_gopfan
- PnL
- $1.31K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $5.86K
- Potential payout
- $6.66K
- Potential profit
- $798.89
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.81K
Yes position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $5.28K
- Potential payout
- $6.11K
- Potential profit
- $824.56
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $834.1
Rank #14
0x492452EaB586F242ss333dffvvvvvbeerr4
0xe25c...7908 Public
- PnL
- $1.2K
- Volume
- $63.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $60.26
- Potential payout
- $103
- Potential profit
- $42.75
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $5.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $49.1
- Potential payout
- $138.3
- Potential profit
- $89.2
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Rank #15
duoyou1314
0x2c57...372d Public @LiJing131419
- PnL
- $1.16K
- Volume
- $29.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $3.79
- Potential payout
- $44.57
- Potential profit
- $40.78
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $3.51
- Potential payout
- $20.06
- Potential profit
- $16.55
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Rank #16
Lex-tang
0xaa93...0bc7 Public @lex_tang
- PnL
- $1.13K
- Volume
- $27.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $2.19
- Potential payout
- $4.14
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $25.02
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Rank #17
wuxiuming
0x9196...d934 Public
- PnL
- $1.11K
- Volume
- $29.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $3.12
- Potential payout
- $37.15
- Potential profit
- $34.03
- Multiplier
- 11.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $78.91
- Potential profit
- $77.33
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Rank #18
BarometricBros
0x18ae...314c Public
- PnL
- $1.09K
- Volume
- $35.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $14.71
- Potential payout
- $35.46
- Potential profit
- $20.74
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $9.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $13.64
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $31.82
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $8.64
Rank #19
Fatbbbb
0x3b2c...ecdc Public
- PnL
- $1.05K
- Volume
- $6.39K
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $287.64
- Potential profit
- $287.64
- User PnL
- -$110.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $378.17
- Potential profit
- $378.17
- User PnL
- -$145
Rank #20
dpnd
0x5f21...b376 Public @dpnd_poly
- PnL
- $1.04K
- Volume
- $310.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $114.24
- Potential payout
- $114.3
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $105.92
Yes position
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $111.36
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- -$39.93
Rank #21
Stopcopyingtrades
0x8b6f...b9be Public
- PnL
- $981.55
- Volume
- $39.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #22
0xfd36...a832
0xfd36...a832 Public
- PnL
- $980.72
- Volume
- $10.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #23
vip68
0x8d09...143f Public
- PnL
- $957.68
- Volume
- $21.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $264.61
- Potential profit
- $264.61
- User PnL
- -$27.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $595.81
- Potential profit
- $595.81
- User PnL
- -$3.25
Rank #24
0x49C4a535912CFec7e90b33672771a7d6BA98dB5B-1775560756137
0x49c4...db5b Public
- PnL
- $868.89
- Volume
- $15.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $39.92
- Potential payout
- $39.94
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $20.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $35.94
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $26.56
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $5.94
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $60.26
- Potential payout
- $103
- Potential profit
- $42.75
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $5.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $49.1
- Potential payout
- $138.3
- Potential profit
- $89.2
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $35.94
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $26.56
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $5.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $16.69
- Potential payout
- $20.11
- Potential profit
- $3.42
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $5.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $14.71
- Potential payout
- $35.46
- Potential profit
- $20.74
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $9.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $13.64
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $31.82
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $8.64
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Event Live
Austria vs. Jordan
AustriaJordan Jun 17, 2026
Austria Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Yes84.5% No15.5%
Jordan Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?
Yes3.2% No96.8%
Event Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxO/U 8.5 Jun 18, 2026
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Yes52.5% No47.5%
O/U 8.5 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
Yes79% No21%
Event Live
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026
Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Yes100% No0%
Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsO/U 10.5 Jun 24, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Yes78% No22%
O/U 10.5 Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
Yes100% No0.1%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesNRFI Jun 23, 2026
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes46.5% No53.5%
NRFI Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes100% No0%
Event Live
Austria vs. Jordan - Second Half Result
AustriaJordan Jun 17, 2026
Austria Austria to win the second half?
Yes33% No67%
Jordan Jordan to win the second half?
Yes10% No90%
Event MLB Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox - First 5 Innings Winner
Atlanta BravesDraw Jun 11, 2026
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Draw Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: Tied after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves - First 5 Innings Winner
San Francisco GiantsAtlanta Braves Jun 16, 2026
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes49.5% No50.5%
Event Live
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Match WinnerEnds in Daytime Jun 17, 2026
Match Winner Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Yes70.5% No29.5%
Ends in Daytime Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Dota 2: Carstensz vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
Game 1 WinnerMatch Winner Jun 17, 2026
Game 1 Winner Dota 2: Carstensz vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 Winner
Yes100% No0.1%
Match Winner Dota 2: Carstensz vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
Yes88.5% No11.5%
Market Live
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes21.5% No78.5%
Market Live
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes10.5% No89.5%