Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $9.11K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $8.89
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$11.11

If you invest $100 $12.5K back +$12.4K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $17.55
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $6.37

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $6.05
Potential payout: $155
Potential profit: $148.96
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: $2.95

If you invest $100 $2.56K back +$2.46K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 10:55 PM

PnL: $1.13K
Volume: $8.67K
Win rate: 48%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.52
Potential profit: $28.52
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $816.53
Potential profit: $816.53
User PnL: -$72.57

PnL: $1.05K
Volume: $36.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $14
Potential payout: $249.98
Potential profit: $235.98
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: -$13.5

If you invest $100 $1.79K back +$1.69K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $8.89
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$11.11

If you invest $100 $12.5K back +$12.4K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.01K
Volume: $8.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $93.25
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$75.94

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $91.31
Potential payout: $126.82
Potential profit: $35.51
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $2.6

If you invest $100 $138.89 back +$38.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $961.06
Volume: $5.01K
Win rate: 62%
Open positions: 3

No position

Neymar Jr: 2+ shots

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $47.93
Potential payout: $95.86
Potential profit: $47.93
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $4.2

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Endrick: 1+ shots

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $47.64
Potential payout: $95.27
Potential profit: $47.64
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$1.45

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $935.3
Volume: $19.55K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$96.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $408.71
Potential profit: $408.71
User PnL: -$37.16

PnL: $909.56
Volume: $2.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $882.12
Volume: $63.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $3.24K
Potential payout: $5.1K
Potential profit: $1.86K
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $1.54K

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $3.15K
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $9.47
User PnL: $399.39

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $772.52
Volume: $10.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $46.54
Potential payout: $132.97
Potential profit: $86.43
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $3.42

If you invest $100 $285.71 back +$185.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $44.52
Potential payout: $44.65
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $15.97

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $762.71
Volume: $10.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.75
Potential profit: $56.75
User PnL: -$33.71

Yes position

Will Trump post "Cuba" on Truth Social this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $1.35
User PnL: -$1

PnL: $698.92
Volume: $1.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.32
Potential profit: $25.32
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.66
Potential profit: $18.66
User PnL: -$7

PnL: $695.41
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $656.12
Volume: $30.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $17.55
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $6.37

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $16.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $33.25
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$6.25

If you invest $100 $298.51 back +$198.51 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $86.27
Potential payout: $257.53
Potential profit: $171.26
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$1.29

If you invest $100 $298.51 back +$198.51 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Neymar Jr: 2+ shots

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $47.93
Potential payout: $95.86
Potential profit: $47.93
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $4.2

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Endrick: 1+ shots

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $47.64
Potential payout: $95.27
Potential profit: $47.64
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$1.45

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Azzedine Ounahi: 1+ shots

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $46.88
Potential payout: $81.53
Potential profit: $34.65
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $6.85

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $46.54
Potential payout: $132.97
Potential profit: $86.43
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $3.42

If you invest $100 $285.71 back +$185.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $36.9
Potential payout: $125.1
Potential profit: $88.2
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $3.99

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Yes16.5% No83.5%

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Yes3.3% No96.7%

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes62% No38%

Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Yes84% No16%

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes37.6% No62.5%