Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $4.94K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $16.75
Potential payout: $257.65
Potential profit: $240.91
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$52.82

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $242.38
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 6.71x
User PnL: $46.61

If you invest $100 $671.14 back +$571.14 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $26.25
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $1.95

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 11:16 PM

PnL: $558.04
Volume: $46.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $267.64
Potential payout: $269.12
Potential profit: $1.48
User PnL: $94.3

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

Over position

Paraguay vs. France: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $262.17
Potential payout: $262.3
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $95.4

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $555.12
Volume: $13.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $220 end of July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $283.14
Potential payout: $296.33
Potential profit: $13.19
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$5.58

If you invest $100 $104.66 back +$4.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $255.76
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: $219.33

If you invest $100 $586.51 back +$486.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $526.17
Volume: $6.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $26.25
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $1.95

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.47
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $23.53
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$6.73

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $525.94
Volume: $12.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $497.92
Volume: $4.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $981.6
Potential profit: $981.6
User PnL: -$1.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $999.98
User PnL: -$1

PnL: $470.06
Volume: $13.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $18.45
Potential payout: $27.96
Potential profit: $9.51
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$1.64

If you invest $100 $151.52 back +$51.52 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $18.07
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $7.93
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$1.17

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $469.42
Volume: $2.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $452.39
Volume: $5.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.56

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $2.93
Potential payout: $4.61
Potential profit: $1.68
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.07

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $443.09
Volume: $2.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$14.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$39.71

PnL: $441.75
Volume: $126.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $29.96
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: -$0.02

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Jim Nash be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $29.96
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: -$0.02

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $427.7
Volume: $19.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $262.84
Potential payout: $269.58
Potential profit: $6.74
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $25.8

If you invest $100 $102.56 back +$2.56 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $261.96
Potential payout: $274.73
Potential profit: $12.78
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.13

If you invest $100 $104.88 back +$4.88 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $413.51
Volume: $6.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.47
Potential profit: $95.47
User PnL: -$63.05

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $739.5
Potential profit: $739.5
User PnL: -$9.37

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $261.59
Potential payout: $273.92
Potential profit: $12.33
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $27.52

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $255.76
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: $219.33

If you invest $100 $586.51 back +$486.51 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $242.38
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 6.71x
User PnL: $46.61

If you invest $100 $671.14 back +$571.14 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $18.45
Potential payout: $27.96
Potential profit: $9.51
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$1.64

If you invest $100 $151.52 back +$51.52 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $18.07
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $7.93
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$1.17

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $16.75
Potential payout: $257.65
Potential profit: $240.91
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$52.82

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

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