Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $3.25K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 27, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $230.99
Potential profit: $230.64
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.12

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $107
Potential profit: $106.47
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.43

If you invest $100 $20K back +$19.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 20, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $97.01
Potential profit: $96.48
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.44

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 11:53 AM

PnL: $372.34
Volume: $6.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.88
Potential profit: $41.88
User PnL: -$9.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.76
Potential profit: $5.76
User PnL: -$0.6

PnL: $347.17
Volume: $5.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$27.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$1.2

PnL: $339.74
Volume: $1.32K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $332.76
Volume: $1.22K
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $322.11
Volume: $4.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.13
Potential profit: $34.13
User PnL: -$30

PnL: $321.12
Volume: $1.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $308.39
Volume: $2.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $41.65
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.98

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $40.41
Potential payout: $113.82
Potential profit: $73.41
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $28.72

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $306.98
Volume: $8.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $23.93
Potential profit: $19.74
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.84

If you invest $100 $571.43 back +$471.43 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $4.04
Potential payout: $36.77
Potential profit: $32.72
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $4.04

If you invest $100 $909.09 back +$809.09 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $304.99
Volume: $6.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $294.12
Volume: $1.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $107
Potential profit: $106.47
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.43

If you invest $100 $20K back +$19.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 20, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $97.01
Potential profit: $96.48
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.44

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $293.74
Volume: $14.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $85.76
Potential payout: $86.67
Potential profit: $0.91
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.13

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $70.78
Potential payout: $77.36
Potential profit: $6.58
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.39

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $291.02
Volume: $1.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.14
Potential profit: $233.14
User PnL: -$58.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$33.75

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $40.41
Potential payout: $113.82
Potential profit: $73.41
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $28.72

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $23.93
Potential profit: $19.74
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.84

If you invest $100 $571.43 back +$471.43 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $4.04
Potential payout: $36.77
Potential profit: $32.72
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $4.04

If you invest $100 $909.09 back +$809.09 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $4.02
Potential payout: $33.63
Potential profit: $29.61
Multiplier: 8.37x
User PnL: $2.86

If you invest $100 $836.82 back +$736.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $107
Potential profit: $106.47
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.43

If you invest $100 $20K back +$19.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 20, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $97.01
Potential profit: $96.48
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.44

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

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