Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.68K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$82.4

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$82.4

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $484.96
Potential profit: $484.72
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$59.92

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 4:47 AM

PnL: $179.14
Volume: $2.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $177.58
Volume: $3.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $70.77
Potential profit: $70.24
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.04

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $484.96
Potential profit: $484.72
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$59.92

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $172.35
Volume: $4.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $169.59
Volume: $1.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $16
User PnL: -$4.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.08
Potential profit: $74.08
User PnL: -$16.8

PnL: $168.77
Volume: $2.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $19.62
Potential payout: $126.96
Potential profit: $107.34
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: $6.62

If you invest $100 $647.25 back +$547.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the announcers say "Comeback” or “Come Back" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $19.47
Potential payout: $177
Potential profit: $157.53
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0.77

If you invest $100 $909.09 back +$809.09 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $166.25
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $337.5
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.16K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $87.5

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $337.5
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.16K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $116.06

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $166.24
Volume: $38.81
Win rate: 40.8%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $763.78
Potential profit: $763.78
User PnL: -$2.57

PnL: $163.87
Volume: $4.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 49.0 and 49.9 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 31.3%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $3.14
Potential profit: $2.16
Multiplier: 3.20x
User PnL: $0.67

If you invest $100 $320 back +$220 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$82.4

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $163.17
Volume: $179
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $153.16
Volume: $13.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $149.93
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $2.85

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $148.39
Potential payout: $148.47
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $83.84

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $150.77
Volume: $587.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $327.52
Potential payout: $500.03
Potential profit: $172.51
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $2.5

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.35B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $305
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $195
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$95

If you invest $100 $163.93 back +$63.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $150
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$14.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$72

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $307.35
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: -$201.32

If you invest $100 $530.5 back +$430.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.35B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $305
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $195
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$95

If you invest $100 $163.93 back +$63.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $302.13
Potential payout: $400.17
Potential profit: $98.04
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$5.97

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $146.93
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $3.07
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.33

If you invest $100 $102.09 back +$2.09 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $19.62
Potential payout: $126.96
Potential profit: $107.34
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: $6.62

If you invest $100 $647.25 back +$547.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the announcers say "Comeback” or “Come Back" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $19.47
Potential payout: $177
Potential profit: $157.53
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0.77

If you invest $100 $909.09 back +$809.09 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

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Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxO/U 8.5 Jun 18, 2026

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Yes50.5% No49.5%

O/U 8.5 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5

Yes70.5% No29.5%

Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026

Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C

Yes100% No0%

Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)

Yes50% No50%

Atlanta BravesDraw Jun 11, 2026

Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?

Yes50% No50%

Draw Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: Tied after 5 innings?

Yes50% No50%

Piracicaba: Gustavo Almeida vs Paulo Dos Santos Set 1 O/U 8.5Piracicaba: Gustavo Almeida vs Paulo Dos Santos Jun 30, 2026

Piracicaba: Gustavo Almeida vs Paulo Dos Santos Set 1 O/U 8.5 Almeida vs. Santos: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Yes50% No50%

Piracicaba: Gustavo Almeida vs Paulo Dos Santos

Yes64% No36%

Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Yes3.5% No96.6%

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?

Yes69.5% No30.5%

Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes20.8% No79.2%

Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes9.5% No90.5%

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Yes13% No87%

Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes17.5% No82.5%

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

Yes52% No48%

Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?

Yes85.5% No14.5%