Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $9.37
- Potential payout
- $104.16
- Potential profit
- $94.79
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$53.7
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $700.42 WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $9.46
- Potential payout
- $48.49
- Potential profit
- $39.03
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$25.94
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #301
fmhong-m
0x62d3...e694 Public
- PnL
- $71.03
- Volume
- $1.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #302
0x7F3cA9D2E1b6F48A4dB0C9E5aOf7B31D8e6C4A91
0xdcd2...87c9 Public @0xlorentzz
- PnL
- $70.99
- Volume
- $6.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Rank #303
0x8daea7b4b923815062B1437F7516ccC21E3A125C-1770027605664
0x8dae...125c Public
- PnL
- $70.64
- Volume
- $459.04
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #304
0xbD6cBe1b94E0AE80B272124bF26b9694EDae1e6d-1769390949481
0xbd6c...1e6d Public
- PnL
- $70.63
- Volume
- $400.84
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #305
dev201801
0xcf05...3d5b Public
- PnL
- $70.59
- Volume
- $532.71
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #306
warptrading
0x6f08...54d3 Public @warptrading
- PnL
- $70.27
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $9.46
- Potential payout
- $48.49
- Potential profit
- $39.03
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$25.94
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $9.37
- Potential payout
- $104.16
- Potential profit
- $94.79
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$53.7
Rank #307
Dumby1
0x3f12...f324 Public
- PnL
- $69.21
- Volume
- $2.08K
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #308
387411007415611814092217897387
0xa49b...7054 Public
- PnL
- $69.16
- Volume
- $11.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $45.78
- Potential payout
- $45.78
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $15.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $45.77
- Potential payout
- $45.77
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $10.81
Rank #309
Pratham13
0x2cf2...fcec Public
- PnL
- $69.01
- Volume
- $169.43
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #310
h0lliday
0xacac...50fb Public
- PnL
- $68.89
- Volume
- $464.06
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #311
tuntuntuntuntuntunsahur
0x0bd4...f2fe Public
- PnL
- $68.88
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #312
dscascsac
0x9c4e...1f10 Public
- PnL
- $68.2
- Volume
- $6.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.45
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