Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $562.6 WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$633.89

If you invest $100 $25K back +$24.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $159.38
Potential payout: $16.78K
Potential profit: $16.62K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $38.25

If you invest $100 $10.53K back +$10.43K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $176.16
Potential payout: $16.78K
Potential profit: $16.6K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $55.03

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 2:04 AM

PnL: $61.47
Volume: $439.74
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $60.69
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $366
Potential profit: $365.82
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$142.61

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$87.35

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $58.6
Volume: $937.51
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $4.41
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $1.59
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $4.41

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $4.06
Potential payout: $312.15
Potential profit: $308.09
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$77.44

If you invest $100 $7.69K back +$7.59K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $57.34
Volume: $186.67
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.09
Potential profit: $7.09
User PnL: -$3

PnL: $56.04
Volume: $617.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.62
Potential payout: $12.63
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $2.56

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $11.35
Potential payout: $16.22
Potential profit: $4.87
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$1.68

If you invest $100 $142.86 back +$42.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $54.62
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C or below on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $14.97
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.27

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $14.96
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.11

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $53.87
Volume: $0
Win rate: 28%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.37
Potential profit: $64.37
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.31
Potential profit: $227.31
User PnL: -$100

PnL: $53.76
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $176.16
Potential payout: $16.78K
Potential profit: $16.6K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $55.03

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $166.21
Potential payout: $9.78K
Potential profit: $9.61K
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: $23.91

If you invest $100 $5.88K back +$5.78K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $53.22
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $878.27
Potential payout: $2.88K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $549.12

If you invest $100 $327.87 back +$227.87 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $832.27
Potential payout: $962.16
Potential profit: $129.89
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $149.13

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $52.98
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $4.27
Potential payout: $26.66
Potential profit: $22.39
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $2.93

If you invest $100 $625 back +$525 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$633.89

If you invest $100 $25K back +$24.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $52.1
Volume: $509.28
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $51
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Over position

Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $3.18
Potential profit: $1.43
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$0

If you invest $100 $181.82 back +$81.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $18.08
Potential profit: $16.54
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.72

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $176.16
Potential payout: $16.78K
Potential profit: $16.6K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $55.03

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $166.21
Potential payout: $9.78K
Potential profit: $9.61K
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: $23.91

If you invest $100 $5.88K back +$5.78K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $159.38
Potential payout: $16.78K
Potential profit: $16.62K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $38.25

If you invest $100 $10.53K back +$10.43K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $11.35
Potential payout: $16.22
Potential profit: $4.87
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$1.68

If you invest $100 $142.86 back +$42.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $10.94
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $1.56
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.83

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $4.41
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $1.59
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $4.41

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

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