Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $3.09K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.55
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$2.55

If you invest $100 $33.33K back +$33.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $10.71
Potential profit: $10.28
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$2.57

If you invest $100 $2.5K back +$2.4K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $7.57
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: $0.3

If you invest $100 $1.85K back +$1.75K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 9:35 PM

PnL: $322.71
Volume: $25.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $319.06
Volume: $178.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $595.5
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $4.5
User PnL: $0.3

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $594.29
Potential payout: $594.59
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $0.3

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $318.78
Volume: $35.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $317.21
Volume: $30.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $804.52
Potential payout: $957.77
Potential profit: $153.24
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $75.57

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $802.92
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$488.51

If you invest $100 $263.16 back +$163.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $312.23
Volume: $9.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 17.6%
Current value: $11.9
Potential payout: $67.64
Potential profit: $55.73
Multiplier: 5.68x
User PnL: $6.08

If you invest $100 $568.18 back +$468.18 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $11.9
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $23.1
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $4.25

If you invest $100 $294.12 back +$194.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $304.11
Volume: $4.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.2
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.2
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $300.29
Volume: $3.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.46
Potential profit: $186.46
User PnL: -$3.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

PnL: $299.82
Volume: $6.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.19

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.31

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $297.08
Volume: $35.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.55
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$2.55

If you invest $100 $33.33K back +$33.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $7.57
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: $0.3

If you invest $100 $1.85K back +$1.75K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $294.02
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $6.74K
Potential profit: $5.37K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$469.34

If you invest $100 $489.24 back +$389.24 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.75K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.68K

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $293.87
Volume: $2.26K
Win rate: 22%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.99
Potential profit: $11.99
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.2

PnL: $289.84
Volume: $3.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $804.52
Potential payout: $957.77
Potential profit: $153.24
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $75.57

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $802.92
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$488.51

If you invest $100 $263.16 back +$163.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $756.17
Potential payout: $784
Potential profit: $27.83
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $6.93

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $584.7
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $15.3
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$5.7

If you invest $100 $102.62 back +$2.62 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 17.6%
Current value: $11.9
Potential payout: $67.64
Potential profit: $55.73
Multiplier: 5.68x
User PnL: $6.08

If you invest $100 $568.18 back +$468.18 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $11.9
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $23.1
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $4.25

If you invest $100 $294.12 back +$194.12 estimated profit if it wins

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