Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $15.6K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $4.32K
Potential payout: $720.3K
Potential profit: $715.98K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$2.33K

If you invest $100 $16.67K back +$16.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $6.91K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $28.09K
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: -$10.59K

If you invest $100 $506.33 back +$406.33 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $9.31K
Potential payout: $38K
Potential profit: $28.69K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $7.85K

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 5:46 AM

PnL: $3.11K
Volume: $42.08K
Win rate: 74%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $65.98K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $4.03K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $30.98K

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 40.4%
Current value: $9.92K
Potential payout: $24.59K
Potential profit: $14.67K
Multiplier: 2.48x
User PnL: $8.98K

If you invest $100 $247.83 back +$147.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.16K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $4.32K
Potential payout: $720.3K
Potential profit: $715.98K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$2.33K

If you invest $100 $16.67K back +$16.57K estimated profit if it wins

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$10

PnL: $2.15K
Volume: $18.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $13.95K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $16.05K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $12.8K

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 38.7%
Current value: $11.61K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $18.39K
Multiplier: 2.58x
User PnL: $10.46K

If you invest $100 $258.4 back +$158.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.12K
Volume: $1.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $28.09K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $6.91K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $10.59K

If you invest $100 $124.61 back +$24.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $6.91K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $28.09K
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: -$10.59K

If you invest $100 $506.33 back +$406.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.65K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $523.51K
Potential payout: $533.92K
Potential profit: $10.41K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $18.39K

If you invest $100 $101.99 back +$1.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.68K
Potential payout: $70.5K
Potential profit: $8.81K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.26K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $133.56K
Potential payout: $140.52K
Potential profit: $6.96K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$117.47

If you invest $100 $105.21 back +$5.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $45.25K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $4.75K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.25K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $921.35
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $307.12K
Potential profit: $305.27K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$1.23K

If you invest $100 $16.67K back +$16.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $12.26K
Potential profit: $11.1K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$870.48

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $767.13
Volume: $0
Win rate: 54.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $5.43K
Potential payout: $11.44K
Potential profit: $6K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $2.63K

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $6.3K
Potential profit: $3.53K
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $671.48

If you invest $100 $227.27 back +$127.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $733.66
Volume: $1.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $12.95K
Potential payout: $13.8K
Potential profit: $848.85
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$613.52

If you invest $100 $106.55 back +$6.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $8.27K
Potential payout: $8.36K
Potential profit: $91.96
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $411.75

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $722.97
Volume: $3.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $24.99K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: $22.6

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $5.94K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $63
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$5.09

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $699.88
Volume: $7.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $2.79K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $3.21K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $2.56K

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 38.7%
Current value: $2.32K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $3.68K
Multiplier: 2.58x
User PnL: $2.09K

If you invest $100 $258.4 back +$158.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $618.6
Volume: $0
Win rate: 18.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $927.9
Potential payout: $206.2K
Potential profit: $205.27K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.16K

If you invest $100 $22.22K back +$22.12K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.89K
Potential profit: $105.89K
User PnL: -$824.29

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.68K
Potential payout: $70.5K
Potential profit: $8.81K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $59.4K
Potential payout: $68.67K
Potential profit: $9.27K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $9.84K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $45.25K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $4.75K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.25K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $28.09K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $6.91K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $10.59K

If you invest $100 $124.61 back +$24.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $13.95K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $16.05K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $12.8K

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $12.95K
Potential payout: $13.8K
Potential profit: $848.85
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$613.52

If you invest $100 $106.55 back +$6.55 estimated profit if it wins

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