Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $31.88K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3.24K
Potential payout: $720.3K
Potential profit: $717.06K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$3.41K

If you invest $100 $22.22K back +$22.12K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $713.62
Potential payout: $15.68K
Potential profit: $14.97K
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $528.94

If you invest $100 $2.2K back +$2.1K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $8.34K
Potential payout: $38K
Potential profit: $29.66K
Multiplier: 4.56x
User PnL: $6.88K

If you invest $100 $455.58 back +$355.58 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 3:55 PM

PnL: $7.05K
Volume: $272.55K
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $84.83K
Potential payout: $90K
Potential profit: $5.18K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $39.83K

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $8.55K
Potential payout: $38K
Potential profit: $29.45K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $7.09K

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.75K
Volume: $20.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $4.53K
Potential payout: $18.53K
Potential profit: $14K
Multiplier: 4.09x
User PnL: $4.17K

If you invest $100 $409 back +$309 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $3.37K
Potential payout: $6.43K
Potential profit: $3.06K
Multiplier: 1.91x
User PnL: $3.11K

If you invest $100 $190.66 back +$90.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.04K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3.24K
Potential payout: $720.3K
Potential profit: $717.06K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$3.41K

If you invest $100 $22.22K back +$22.12K estimated profit if it wins

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$10

PnL: $2.18K
Volume: $1.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $27.98K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $7.02K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $10.48K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $7.02K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $27.98K
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$10.48K

If you invest $100 $498.75 back +$398.75 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.15K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $307.12K
Potential profit: $305.73K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.69K

If you invest $100 $22.22K back +$22.12K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $12.26K
Potential profit: $11.1K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$870.48

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.98K
Volume: $94.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $15.73K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $14.27K
Multiplier: 1.91x
User PnL: $14.58K

If you invest $100 $190.66 back +$90.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $7.34K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $22.67K
Multiplier: 4.09x
User PnL: $6.18K

If you invest $100 $409 back +$309 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.9K
Volume: $46.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $929.55
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $842.71
Multiplier: 1.91x
User PnL: $128.49

If you invest $100 $190.66 back +$90.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $742.39
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $2.29K
Multiplier: 4.09x
User PnL: $146.21

If you invest $100 $409 back +$309 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.79K
Volume: $528.47
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $524.31K
Potential payout: $533.92K
Potential profit: $9.61K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $19.19K

If you invest $100 $101.83 back +$1.83 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.88K
Potential payout: $70.72K
Potential profit: $8.84K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.59K
Volume: $44.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.4%
Current value: $15.87K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $4.13K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $5.87K

If you invest $100 $126.02 back +$26.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $4.13K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $15.87K
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$5.87K

If you invest $100 $484.26 back +$384.26 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.44K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 18.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $927.9
Potential payout: $206.2K
Potential profit: $205.27K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.16K

If you invest $100 $22.22K back +$22.12K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.89K
Potential profit: $105.89K
User PnL: -$824.29

PnL: $1.27K
Volume: $25.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.71K
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $266.59
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$2.66

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.63K
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $0.82
User PnL: $113.92

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.26K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 55.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $807.54
Potential payout: $179.45K
Potential profit: $178.64K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$5.3K

If you invest $100 $22.22K back +$22.12K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $614.7
Potential payout: $638.64
Potential profit: $23.95
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $77.74

If you invest $100 $103.9 back +$3.9 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $59.4K
Potential payout: $68.67K
Potential profit: $9.27K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $9.84K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $27.98K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $7.02K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $10.48K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.4%
Current value: $15.87K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $4.13K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $5.87K

If you invest $100 $126.02 back +$26.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $15.73K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $14.27K
Multiplier: 1.91x
User PnL: $14.58K

If you invest $100 $190.66 back +$90.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $8.55K
Potential payout: $38K
Potential profit: $29.45K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $7.09K

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $8.34K
Potential payout: $38K
Potential profit: $29.66K
Multiplier: 4.56x
User PnL: $6.88K

If you invest $100 $455.58 back +$355.58 estimated profit if it wins

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