Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $3.83K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 22.6%
Current value: $6.77K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $23.24K
Multiplier: 4.43x
User PnL: $5.61K

If you invest $100 $443.46 back +$343.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $8.1K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $21.9K
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $6.95K

If you invest $100 $370.37 back +$270.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 42.2%
Current value: $12.66K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $17.34K
Multiplier: 2.37x
User PnL: $11.51K

If you invest $100 $236.97 back +$136.97 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 3:45 AM

PnL: $899.64
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.7%
Current value: $2.17K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $7.83K
Multiplier: 4.61x
User PnL: $1.85K

If you invest $100 $460.83 back +$360.83 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.8%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $10.89K
Potential profit: $9.5K
Multiplier: 7.84x
User PnL: $965.09

If you invest $100 $784.31 back +$684.31 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $534.02
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $6.36K
Potential payout: $7.62K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $618.94

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will between 13 and 15 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.4K
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $2.11
User PnL: $4.14

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $427.26
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $7.63K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.68K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $3.34K

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $6.41K
Potential payout: $8.22K
Potential profit: $1.81K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $60.75

If you invest $100 $128.21 back +$28.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $390.77
Volume: $358.27
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $13.03K
Potential payout: $14.03K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.47

If you invest $100 $107.7 back +$7.7 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $10.37K
Potential payout: $10.92K
Potential profit: $551.6
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $406.44

If you invest $100 $105.32 back +$5.32 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $356.33
Volume: $7.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 42.2%
Current value: $12.66K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $17.34K
Multiplier: 2.37x
User PnL: $11.51K

If you invest $100 $236.97 back +$136.97 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $8.1K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $21.9K
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $6.95K

If you invest $100 $370.37 back +$270.37 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $341.82
Volume: $11.14
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $3.24K
Potential payout: $4.47K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $40.84

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 48.1%
Current value: $2.36K
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $2.55K
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$483.73

If you invest $100 $208.12 back +$108.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $290.46
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $5.66K
Potential payout: $9.2K
Potential profit: $3.54K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $1.29K

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.6%
Current value: $4.74K
Potential payout: $18.52K
Potential profit: $13.78K
Multiplier: 3.91x
User PnL: $806.79

If you invest $100 $390.63 back +$290.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $211.52
Volume: $1.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $60.44
Potential payout: $112.98
Potential profit: $52.54
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $32.61

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $58.42
Potential payout: $109.2
Potential profit: $50.78
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $29.14

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $202.62
Volume: $3.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 42.2%
Current value: $1.8K
Potential payout: $4.27K
Potential profit: $2.47K
Multiplier: 2.37x
User PnL: $1.09K

If you invest $100 $236.97 back +$136.97 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $950.31
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $825.97
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $230.27

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $174.78
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $7.09K
Potential profit: $5.67K
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$119.22

If you invest $100 $500 back +$400 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $817.11
Potential payout: $961.31
Potential profit: $144.2
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $333.14

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $162.61
Volume: $291
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $874.06
Potential payout: $19.64K
Potential profit: $18.77K
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $615.16

If you invest $100 $2.25K back +$2.15K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $291.82
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.55K
Multiplier: 6.31x
User PnL: $152.24

If you invest $100 $630.91 back +$530.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $157.5
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $2.57K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $435
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $215.01

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $2.2K
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $5.8K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$1.38K

If you invest $100 $363.64 back +$263.64 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $9.79K
Potential payout: $10.25K
Potential profit: $456.03
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $191.16

If you invest $100 $104.66 back +$4.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $8.1K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $21.9K
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $6.95K

If you invest $100 $370.37 back +$270.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $7.63K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.68K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $3.34K

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 22.6%
Current value: $6.77K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $23.24K
Multiplier: 4.43x
User PnL: $5.61K

If you invest $100 $443.46 back +$343.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $6.41K
Potential payout: $8.22K
Potential profit: $1.81K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $60.75

If you invest $100 $128.21 back +$28.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $6.36K
Potential payout: $7.62K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $618.94

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

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