Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $16.82K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $7.91K
Potential payout: $158.23K
Potential profit: $150.32K
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$10.38K

If you invest $100 $2K back +$1.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $5.33K
Potential payout: $46.35K
Potential profit: $41.02K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$7.8K

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $8.69K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $21.32K
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $7.53K

If you invest $100 $345.42 back +$245.42 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 7:59 AM

PnL: $4.2K
Volume: $53.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 76.1%
Current value: $22.83K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $7.17K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $21.68K

If you invest $100 $131.41 back +$31.41 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $8.99K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $21.02K
Multiplier: 3.34x
User PnL: $7.83K

If you invest $100 $333.89 back +$233.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.46K
Volume: $1.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $10.89K
Potential profit: $9.35K
Multiplier: 7.10x
User PnL: $1.11K

If you invest $100 $709.72 back +$609.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.35K
Potential payout: $100.07K
Potential profit: $98.72K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$567.17

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.79K
Volume: $1.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $13.23K
Potential payout: $24.73K
Potential profit: $11.5K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $2.14K

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $10.05K
Potential payout: $16.61K
Potential profit: $6.56K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1.11K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.19K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $8.19K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.9K

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $4.42K
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $22.19
User PnL: $144.22

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.13K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 28.6%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $5.33K
Potential payout: $46.35K
Potential profit: $41.02K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$7.8K

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $5.16K
Potential profit: $3.92K
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$165.16

If you invest $100 $416.67 back +$316.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $914.71
Volume: $5.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $112.6
Potential payout: $113
Potential profit: $0.4
User PnL: -$0.1

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $102.83
Potential payout: $113
Potential profit: $10.17
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.95

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $839.89
Volume: $677.58
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $299.37
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $92.41

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $464.43
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $1.86K

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $801.1
Volume: $1.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $3.57K
Potential payout: $3.69K
Potential profit: $114.32
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $51.96

If you invest $100 $103.2 back +$3.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $2.37K
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $402.5
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $100.93

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $791.16
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $7.91K
Potential payout: $158.23K
Potential profit: $150.32K
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$10.38K

If you invest $100 $2K back +$1.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $779.15
Potential payout: $119.87K
Potential profit: $119.09K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$435.85

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $697.7
Volume: $146.67
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $243.91
Potential payout: $244.28
Potential profit: $0.37
User PnL: -$0.12

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $243.14
Potential payout: $243.51
Potential profit: $0.37
User PnL: $0.12

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $671.59
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $766.05
Potential payout: $4.47K
Potential profit: $3.7K
Multiplier: 5.83x
User PnL: $652.77

If you invest $100 $583.09 back +$483.09 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.3%
Current value: $97.49
Potential payout: $113.03
Potential profit: $15.54
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $7.6

If you invest $100 $115.94 back +$15.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $528.15
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $0.95
User PnL: $968.06

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $472.31
Potential payout: $479.99
Potential profit: $7.68
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $253.92

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $8.99K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $21.02K
Multiplier: 3.34x
User PnL: $7.83K

If you invest $100 $333.89 back +$233.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $8.69K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $21.32K
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $7.53K

If you invest $100 $345.42 back +$245.42 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $8.19K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.9K

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $7.91K
Potential payout: $158.23K
Potential profit: $150.32K
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$10.38K

If you invest $100 $2K back +$1.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $7.83K
Potential payout: $9.26K
Potential profit: $1.44K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $437.73

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $5.33K
Potential payout: $46.35K
Potential profit: $41.02K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$7.8K

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

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