Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $9.56K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.88K
Potential payout: $720.3K
Potential profit: $717.42K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$3.77K

If you invest $100 $25K back +$24.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $9.86K
Potential payout: $563.55K
Potential profit: $553.69K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$12.81K

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $11.55K
Potential payout: $101.74K
Potential profit: $90.19K
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: -$3.37K

If you invest $100 $881.06 back +$781.06 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 3:40 AM

PnL: $2.1K
Volume: $1.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.2%
Current value: $28.07K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $6.93K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $10.57K

If you invest $100 $124.69 back +$24.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $6.93K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $28.07K
Multiplier: 5.05x
User PnL: -$10.57K

If you invest $100 $505.05 back +$405.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.8K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.88K
Potential payout: $720.3K
Potential profit: $717.42K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$3.77K

If you invest $100 $25K back +$24.9K estimated profit if it wins

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$10

PnL: $930.42
Volume: $0
Win rate: 54.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $6.12K
Potential payout: $11.44K
Potential profit: $5.32K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $3.31K

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $6.3K
Potential profit: $3.53K
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $671.48

If you invest $100 $227.27 back +$127.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $801.87
Volume: $1.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $13.31K
Potential payout: $13.8K
Potential profit: $489.99
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$254.66

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $8.3K
Potential payout: $8.36K
Potential profit: $62.7
User PnL: $441.01

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $767.79
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $307.12K
Potential profit: $305.89K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$1.84K

If you invest $100 $25K back +$24.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $12.26K
Potential profit: $11.1K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$870.48

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $702.59
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $133.14K
Potential payout: $140.52K
Potential profit: $7.38K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$539.03

If you invest $100 $105.54 back +$5.54 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $45.25K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $4.75K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.25K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $658.43
Volume: $2.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $24.99K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: $22.6

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $5.94K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $63
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$5.09

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $639
Volume: $18.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $16.05K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $13.95K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $14.9K

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 25.2%
Current value: $7.55K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $22.46K
Multiplier: 3.98x
User PnL: $6.39K

If you invest $100 $397.61 back +$297.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $587.96
Volume: $116
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $11.55K
Potential payout: $101.74K
Potential profit: $90.19K
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: -$3.37K

If you invest $100 $881.06 back +$781.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $7.91K
Potential payout: $12.66K
Potential profit: $4.75K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$2.04K

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $563.55
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $9.86K
Potential payout: $563.55K
Potential profit: $553.69K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$12.81K

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $552.71
Volume: $842.53
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $220.78
Potential payout: $581
Potential profit: $360.22
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $139.44

If you invest $100 $263.16 back +$163.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $6.96
Potential payout: $115.99
Potential profit: $109.03
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$47.55

If you invest $100 $1.67K back +$1.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $520.14
Volume: $34.09K
Win rate: 74%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $65.98K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $4.03K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $30.98K

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $10.87K
Potential payout: $20.32K
Potential profit: $9.45K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $10.09K

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.2%
Current value: $28.07K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $6.93K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $10.57K

If you invest $100 $124.69 back +$24.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $16.05K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $13.95K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $14.9K

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $13.31K
Potential payout: $13.8K
Potential profit: $489.99
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$254.66

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $11.55K
Potential payout: $101.74K
Potential profit: $90.19K
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: -$3.37K

If you invest $100 $881.06 back +$781.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $9.86K
Potential payout: $563.55K
Potential profit: $553.69K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$12.81K

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $9.12K
Potential payout: $38K
Potential profit: $28.88K
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $7.66K

If you invest $100 $416.67 back +$316.67 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

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Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes20.7% No79.4%

Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes73.5% No26.5%