Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.74K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $17K
Potential profit: $15.9K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$4.09K

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $201.44
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $831.57
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $24.28

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $920.18
Potential payout: $3.12K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$136.94

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 2:31 AM

PnL: $347.43
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $920.18
Potential payout: $3.12K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$136.94

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will "Worst Neighbor Ever" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $677.1
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $432.9
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $205.35

If you invest $100 $163.93 back +$63.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $321.43
Volume: $818.47
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $94.82
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$9.15

If you invest $100 $106.04 back +$6.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $2.29
User PnL: $54.18

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $303.46
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $105.76
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.03K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$172

If you invest $100 $2.02K back +$1.92K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.1B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $105.18
Potential payout: $404.55
Potential profit: $299.37
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $8.09

If you invest $100 $384.62 back +$284.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $291.68
Volume: $1.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Tems perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $679.01
Potential payout: $711.76
Potential profit: $32.74
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $67.03

If you invest $100 $104.82 back +$4.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 83.2%
Current value: $574.55
Potential payout: $690.98
Potential profit: $116.43
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$45.95

If you invest $100 $120.26 back +$20.26 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $284.27
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.65K
User PnL: -$39.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.63K
Potential profit: $9.63K
User PnL: -$202.7

PnL: $254.65
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Republican Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $234.92
Potential payout: $235.27
Potential profit: $0.35
User PnL: $20.96

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

California voter ID referendum passes?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $208.72
Potential payout: $439.42
Potential profit: $230.7
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $117.05

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $243.75
Volume: $223.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $239.61
Volume: $400
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $298.95
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$10.77

If you invest $100 $28.57K back +$28.47K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.73K
User PnL: -$94.79

PnL: $239.04
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 3?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.45K
Potential payout: $3.45K
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: $177.64

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $2.75K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $36.23
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $15.81

If you invest $100 $101.32 back +$1.32 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $219.48
Volume: $18.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $21.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $3.13
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.13

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Over position

Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.99
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.67

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $216.19
Volume: $3.21K
Win rate: 58%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $40.7
Potential payout: $55.37
Potential profit: $14.67
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $0.49

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $30.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $969.5
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $15.5

If you invest $100 $3.28K back +$3.18K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $196.18
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $360
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $930

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $17K
Potential profit: $15.9K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$4.09K

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.7%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $390.32
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$65.19

If you invest $100 $127.15 back +$27.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $360
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $930

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $17K
Potential profit: $15.9K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$4.09K

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $536
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $666.26

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $920.18
Potential payout: $3.12K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$136.94

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Tems perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $679.01
Potential payout: $711.76
Potential profit: $32.74
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $67.03

If you invest $100 $104.82 back +$4.82 estimated profit if it wins

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