Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $3.88K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $887.84
Potential payout: $19.73K
Potential profit: $18.84K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$1.58K

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $101
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $898.98
Multiplier: 9.90x
User PnL: $81.39

If you invest $100 $990.1 back +$890.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $104.8
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $695.2
Multiplier: 7.63x
User PnL: $74.03

If you invest $100 $763.36 back +$663.36 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 5:35 AM

PnL: $507.88
Volume: $35.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $15.65K
Potential payout: $15.7K
Potential profit: $54.95
User PnL: $404.17

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $15.2K
Potential payout: $15.87K
Potential profit: $674.51
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $307.67

If you invest $100 $104.44 back +$4.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $496.81
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $35.94
Potential payout: $38.65
Potential profit: $2.71
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.81

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 89.7%
Current value: $28.08
Potential payout: $31.3
Potential profit: $3.22
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$1.97

If you invest $100 $111.48 back +$11.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $440.85
Volume: $339.95
Open positions: 1

PnL: $434.01
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $920.18
Potential payout: $3.12K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$136.94

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $887.84
Potential payout: $19.73K
Potential profit: $18.84K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$1.58K

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $394.02
Volume: $968
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Domenica Dee Win Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(women's)

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $15.96
Potential payout: $491
Potential profit: $475.04
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $11.05

If you invest $100 $3.08K back +$2.98K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Camille O'Brien Win Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(women's)

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $15.47
Potential payout: $491
Potential profit: $475.53
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $10.56

If you invest $100 $3.17K back +$3.07K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $369.1
Volume: $2.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.69K
Potential profit: $3.69K
User PnL: -$73.8

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$100

PnL: $347.42
Volume: $1.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $0.76
User PnL: $55.7

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.4%
Current value: $1.41K
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $414.08
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$88.96

If you invest $100 $129.28 back +$29.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $305.91
Volume: $728.77
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 47.7%
Current value: $17.81
Potential payout: $37.34
Potential profit: $19.53
Multiplier: 2.10x
User PnL: $17.44

If you invest $100 $209.64 back +$109.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 47.9%
Current value: $17.03
Potential payout: $35.55
Potential profit: $18.52
Multiplier: 2.09x
User PnL: $16.67

If you invest $100 $208.77 back +$108.77 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $297.6
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Republican Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $234.92
Potential payout: $235.27
Potential profit: $0.35
User PnL: $20.96

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

California voter ID referendum passes?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $208.72
Potential payout: $439.42
Potential profit: $230.7
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $117.05

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $287.61
Volume: $2.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $523.33
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $910.46
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$93.66

If you invest $100 $273.97 back +$173.97 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $495.41
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$193.02

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $287.31
Volume: $0
Win rate: 38%
Open positions: 3

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.07
Potential profit: $146.07
User PnL: -$49

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$250

PnL: $255.31
Volume: $4.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $111
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $489
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $87.92

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $104.8
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $695.2
Multiplier: 7.63x
User PnL: $74.03

If you invest $100 $763.36 back +$663.36 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 80.2%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $344.54
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $25.75

If you invest $100 $124.77 back +$24.77 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $920.18
Potential payout: $3.12K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$136.94

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $887.84
Potential payout: $19.73K
Potential profit: $18.84K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$1.58K

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will "Worst Neighbor Ever" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $688.2
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $421.8
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $216.45

If you invest $100 $161.29 back +$61.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $523.33
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $910.46
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$93.66

If you invest $100 $273.97 back +$173.97 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $495.41
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$193.02

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

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