Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.08K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $1
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0

If you invest $100 $4.26K back +$4.16K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $358.03
Potential payout: $7.96K
Potential profit: $7.6K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $39.78

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 7Saber be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $1.76
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.25
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $0.18

If you invest $100 $1.71K back +$1.61K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 1:57 AM

PnL: $119.04
Volume: $1.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $2.31
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.56

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 7Saber be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $1.76
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.25
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $0.18

If you invest $100 $1.71K back +$1.61K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $117.12
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $30.93
Potential payout: $276.13
Potential profit: $245.2
Multiplier: 8.93x
User PnL: $4.2

If you invest $100 $892.86 back +$792.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $29.01
Potential payout: $95.1
Potential profit: $66.09
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $1.43

If you invest $100 $327.87 back +$227.87 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $114.4
Volume: $70
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $1
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0

If you invest $100 $4.26K back +$4.16K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$855.84

PnL: $113.54
Volume: $1.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $364.34
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.61K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $60.3

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $363.73
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$8.46

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $108.85
Volume: $0
Win rate: 56%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $105.24
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $103.28
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Trump deport 300-400k people?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $142.22
Potential payout: $677.25
Potential profit: $535.03
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$38.82

If you invest $100 $476.19 back +$376.19 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $134.77
Potential payout: $148.92
Potential profit: $14.15
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $13.69

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $103.27
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $101.96
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Sayaka Ishii position

Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sayaka Ishii

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$50

Guido Justo position

Asuncion 2: Guido Justo vs Nick Hardt

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.87K
Potential profit: $2.87K
User PnL: -$1.12K

PnL: $94.97
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $572.71
Potential payout: $580.25
Potential profit: $7.54
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.5

If you invest $100 $101.32 back +$1.32 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $562.74
Potential payout: $760.46
Potential profit: $197.72
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $15.21

If you invest $100 $135.14 back +$35.14 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $92.72
Volume: $2.94K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $87.9
Volume: $200
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $364.34
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.61K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $60.3

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $363.73
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$8.46

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $358.03
Potential payout: $7.96K
Potential profit: $7.6K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $39.78

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump deport 300-400k people?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $142.22
Potential payout: $677.25
Potential profit: $535.03
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$38.82

If you invest $100 $476.19 back +$376.19 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $134.77
Potential payout: $148.92
Potential profit: $14.15
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $13.69

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $104.34
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 10.75x
User PnL: $43.94

If you invest $100 $1.08K back +$975.27 estimated profit if it wins

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