Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $11.85K ECONOMICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $20.03K
Potential payout: $103K
Potential profit: $82.97K
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: -$360.5

If you invest $100 $514.14 back +$414.14 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $78.66K
Potential payout: $162.19K
Potential profit: $83.53K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$12.89K

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $19.72K
Potential payout: $101.1K
Potential profit: $81.39K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$16.81K

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

ECONOMICS leaderboard

Updated 7:52 AM

PnL: $1.7K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $723.25K
Potential payout: $762.92K
Potential profit: $39.67K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $80.71K

If you invest $100 $105.49 back +$5.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $69.74K
Potential payout: $135.41K
Potential profit: $65.67K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$4.31K

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.62K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $78.66K
Potential payout: $162.19K
Potential profit: $83.53K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$12.89K

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $24.28K
Potential payout: $70.39K
Potential profit: $46.11K
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$7.8K

If you invest $100 $289.94 back +$189.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.38K
Volume: $13.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $375.75K
Potential payout: $396.36K
Potential profit: $20.61K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $50.92K

If you invest $100 $105.49 back +$5.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $9.39K
Potential payout: $13.42K
Potential profit: $4.02K
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $431.16

If you invest $100 $142.86 back +$42.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.21K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $19.72K
Potential payout: $101.1K
Potential profit: $81.39K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$16.81K

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $10.43K
Potential payout: $75.32K
Potential profit: $64.89K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$43.38

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.12K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $116.84K
Potential payout: $132.77K
Potential profit: $15.93K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.61K

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $72.41K
Potential payout: $149.29K
Potential profit: $76.88K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $2.72K

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.03K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $243.38K
Potential payout: $256.73K
Potential profit: $13.35K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.76K

If you invest $100 $105.49 back +$5.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $13.92K
Potential payout: $14.33K
Potential profit: $408.38
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.6K

If you invest $100 $102.93 back +$2.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $986.6
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $233.82K
Potential payout: $246.65K
Potential profit: $12.83K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$1.34K

If you invest $100 $105.49 back +$5.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $88.86K
Potential payout: $89.26K
Potential profit: $401.68
User PnL: $2.04K

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $960.16
Volume: $7.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $232.36K
Potential payout: $245.11K
Potential profit: $12.75K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $33.96K

If you invest $100 $105.49 back +$5.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $12.77K
Potential payout: $19.5K
Potential profit: $6.73K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$1.54K

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $957.55
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $22.25K
Potential payout: $72.95K
Potential profit: $50.7K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $597.03

If you invest $100 $327.87 back +$227.87 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $21.26K
Potential payout: $23.75K
Potential profit: $2.49K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $5.36K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $874
Volume: $0
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $207.14K
Potential payout: $218.5K
Potential profit: $11.36K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $41.95K

If you invest $100 $105.49 back +$5.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.64K
Potential profit: $118.64K
User PnL: -$1.99K

PnL: $838.39
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $637.65K
Potential payout: $638.61K
Potential profit: $957.91
User PnL: $81.34K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $621.32K
Potential payout: $623.5K
Potential profit: $2.18K
User PnL: $49.76K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $819.51
Volume: $0
Win rate: 22.2%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $227.23K
Potential payout: $230.58K
Potential profit: $3.34K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $5.23K

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $211.94K
Potential payout: $216.27K
Potential profit: $4.33K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $11.36K

If you invest $100 $102.04 back +$2.04 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $211.94K
Potential payout: $216.27K
Potential profit: $4.33K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $11.36K

If you invest $100 $102.04 back +$2.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $205.82K
Potential payout: $208.32K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.8K

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $116.84K
Potential payout: $132.77K
Potential profit: $15.93K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.61K

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $78.66K
Potential payout: $162.19K
Potential profit: $83.53K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$12.89K

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $69.74K
Potential payout: $135.41K
Potential profit: $65.67K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$4.31K

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $61.37K
Potential payout: $93.69K
Potential profit: $32.32K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$6.85K

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

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