Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.9%
- Current value
- $45.22K
- Potential payout
- $168.41K
- Potential profit
- $123.19K
- Multiplier
- 3.72x
- User PnL
- $12.51K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $187.75K ECONOMICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.64K
- Potential profit
- $118.64K
- User PnL
- -$1.99K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $42.73K
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $107.26K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $11.83K
Top Traders
ECONOMICS leaderboard
Rank #1
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
0x0c0e...434e Public
- PnL
- $38.07K
- Volume
- $10K
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $402.36K
- Potential payout
- $439.74K
- Potential profit
- $37.38K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $62.78K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $110.57K
- Potential payout
- $111.57K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- $3.85K
Rank #2
peoplearestrange
0x182b...f3d3 Public
- PnL
- $24.25K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $369.79K
- Potential payout
- $404.14K
- Potential profit
- $34.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $78.96K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.19K
- Potential profit
- $89.19K
- User PnL
- -$1.75K
Rank #3
back-in-whack
0x5235...c04a Public
- PnL
- $22.64K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $191.97K
- Potential payout
- $209.8K
- Potential profit
- $17.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $43.09K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $59.01K
- Potential payout
- $110.29K
- Potential profit
- $51.29K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $2.44K
Rank #4
dlkf
0xa309...4cf2 Public
- PnL
- $21.38K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $122.33K
- Potential payout
- $192.64K
- Potential profit
- $70.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $35.28K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.9%
- Current value
- $45.22K
- Potential payout
- $168.41K
- Potential profit
- $123.19K
- Multiplier
- 3.72x
- User PnL
- $12.51K
Rank #5
pada
0x714a...ab2f Public
- PnL
- $16.39K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $85.73K
- Potential payout
- $135K
- Potential profit
- $49.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $36.55K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $42.73K
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $107.26K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $11.83K
Rank #6
tourists
0xc6dd...4b9f Public
- PnL
- $15.55K
- Volume
- $10.01K
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $209.89K
- Potential payout
- $229.39K
- Potential profit
- $19.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $39.83K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $18.86K
- Potential payout
- $25.66K
- Potential profit
- $6.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $2.08K
Rank #7
hymolu
0x17e3...9ba5 Public
- PnL
- $14.12K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $215.21K
- Potential payout
- $235.2K
- Potential profit
- $19.99K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $15.22K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.01K
- Potential payout
- $5.02K
- Potential profit
- $7.53
- User PnL
- $12.81
Rank #8
suvorov
0xf661...2259 Public
- PnL
- $13.2K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $199.93K
- Potential payout
- $218.5K
- Potential profit
- $18.57K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $34.74K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $91.86K
- Potential payout
- $92K
- Potential profit
- $138
- User PnL
- $11.82K
Rank #9
ProfessionalPunter
0x22e4...ef1c Public @evan_semet
- PnL
- $12.63K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $192.25K
- Potential payout
- $210.11K
- Potential profit
- $17.86K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $27.3K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $21.11K
- Potential payout
- $37.36K
- Potential profit
- $16.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.67K
Rank #10
alextalley
0x1a3f...6dea Public
- PnL
- $9.53K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $98.51K
- Potential payout
- $107.67K
- Potential profit
- $9.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $48.57K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $17.09K
- Potential payout
- $31.94K
- Potential profit
- $14.85K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$2.52K
Rank #11
treesanddreams
0x334b...d971 Public
- PnL
- $8.72K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $132.58K
- Potential payout
- $144.89K
- Potential profit
- $12.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $14.4K
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $1.74K
- Potential payout
- $4.77K
- Potential profit
- $3.03K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$384.56
Rank #12
Bertapotamous
0x134a...9e42 Public
- PnL
- $8.47K
- Volume
- $8.23K
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $39.92K
- Potential payout
- $74.62K
- Potential profit
- $34.7K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $8.19K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $34.39K
- Potential payout
- $39.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.91K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.28K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $59.01K
- Potential payout
- $110.29K
- Potential profit
- $51.29K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $2.44K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.9%
- Current value
- $45.22K
- Potential payout
- $168.41K
- Potential profit
- $123.19K
- Multiplier
- 3.72x
- User PnL
- $12.51K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $42.73K
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $107.26K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $11.83K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $34.39K
- Potential payout
- $39.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.91K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.28K
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Current value
- $32.54K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $7.46K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $21.11K
- Potential payout
- $37.36K
- Potential profit
- $16.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.67K
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Inflation Live
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? Jan 20, 2027
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
Yes23.2% No76.8%
Market Inflation Live
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%? Jan 10, 2027
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?
Yes4.7% No95.4%
Market Live
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes63.5% No36.5%
Market Live
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes97.5% No2.6%
Market Live
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Yes11.5% No88.5%
Market Live
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?
Yes35.5% No64.5%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
Yes3.8% No96.2%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
Yes4.7% No95.4%
Market Live
US recession by end of 2026?
US recession by end of 2026?
Yes12.5% No87.5%
Market Live
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Yes8.5% No91.5%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?
Yes2.7% No97.4%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Yes22.6% No77.4%