Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $54.17K ECONOMICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $105.03K
Potential payout: $570.79K
Potential profit: $465.77K
Multiplier: 5.43x
User PnL: -$16.18K

If you invest $100 $543.48 back +$443.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $82K
Potential payout: $400K
Potential profit: $318K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$5.75K

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $53.48K
Potential payout: $175.35K
Potential profit: $121.87K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$43.39K

If you invest $100 $327.87 back +$227.87 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

ECONOMICS leaderboard

Updated 4:11 PM

PnL: $16.91K
Volume: $334.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $422.77K
Potential payout: $426.83K
Potential profit: $4.05K
User PnL: $3.17K

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.1%
Current value: $205.38K
Potential payout: $263.14K
Potential profit: $57.76K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $7.07K

If you invest $100 $128.12 back +$28.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.14K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $217.54
Potential payout: $273.64
Potential profit: $56.1
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $48.48

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $89.45
Potential payout: $89.5
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $88.79

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.29K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.2%
Current value: $52.03K
Potential payout: $65.7K
Potential profit: $13.67K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $19.18K

If you invest $100 $126.26 back +$26.26 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $13.67K
Potential payout: $65.7K
Potential profit: $52.03K
Multiplier: 4.81x
User PnL: -$19.18K

If you invest $100 $480.77 back +$380.77 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.46K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 66%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $107K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $93K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $23.26K

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $82K
Potential payout: $400K
Potential profit: $318K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$5.75K

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.35K
Volume: $32.6K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $111.43K
Potential payout: $208.28K
Potential profit: $96.85K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $14.14K

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $105.03K
Potential payout: $570.79K
Potential profit: $465.77K
Multiplier: 5.43x
User PnL: -$16.18K

If you invest $100 $543.48 back +$443.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.24K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $20.47K
Potential payout: $99.84K
Potential profit: $79.37K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $13.48K

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $10.19K
Potential payout: $27.92K
Potential profit: $17.73K
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $3.11K

If you invest $100 $273.97 back +$173.97 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.04K
Volume: $120.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $43.89K
Potential payout: $43.91K
Potential profit: $21.95
User PnL: $996.33

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $42.14K
Potential payout: $229.02K
Potential profit: $186.88K
Multiplier: 5.43x
User PnL: -$8.57K

If you invest $100 $543.48 back +$443.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2K
Volume: $24.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $2.71K
Potential payout: $20.09K
Potential profit: $17.38K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$714.18

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.2K
Potential payout: $20.95K
Potential profit: $18.75K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$445.65

If you invest $100 $952.38 back +$852.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.91K
Volume: $227.6
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 90.6%
Current value: $95.08
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $9.92
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$3.68

If you invest $100 $110.44 back +$10.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $94
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $1
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.57

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.83K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $30.65K
Potential payout: $166.57K
Potential profit: $135.92K
Multiplier: 5.43x
User PnL: -$5.49K

If you invest $100 $543.48 back +$443.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.75K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $53.48K
Potential payout: $175.35K
Potential profit: $121.87K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$43.39K

If you invest $100 $327.87 back +$227.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $9.5K
Potential payout: $70.39K
Potential profit: $60.89K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$22.57K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.53K
Volume: $4.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $83.01K
Potential payout: $84.92K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $600.07

If you invest $100 $102.3 back +$2.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $79.5K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $20.5K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.5K

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $105.03K
Potential payout: $570.79K
Potential profit: $465.77K
Multiplier: 5.43x
User PnL: -$16.18K

If you invest $100 $543.48 back +$443.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $83.01K
Potential payout: $84.92K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $600.07

If you invest $100 $102.3 back +$2.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $82K
Potential payout: $400K
Potential profit: $318K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$5.75K

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $79.5K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $20.5K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.5K

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $53.48K
Potential payout: $175.35K
Potential profit: $121.87K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$43.39K

If you invest $100 $327.87 back +$227.87 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $52.43K
Potential payout: $55.45K
Potential profit: $3.02K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$79.29

If you invest $100 $105.76 back +$5.76 estimated profit if it wins

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