Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $13.97K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $74K
Potential payout: $400K
Potential profit: $326K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$13.75K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.29K
Potential payout: $98.53K
Potential profit: $84.24K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$15.52K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Current value: $21.19K
Potential payout: $100.17K
Potential profit: $78.98K
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $12.43K

If you invest $100 $472.81 back +$372.81 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 12:54 PM

PnL: $2.49K
Volume: $21.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $26.54K
Potential payout: $96.51K
Potential profit: $69.97K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $458.35

If you invest $100 $363.64 back +$263.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $14.17K
Potential payout: $20.84K
Potential profit: $6.67K
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $6.29K

If you invest $100 $147.06 back +$47.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.27K
Volume: $3.78K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $24.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $3.81
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.58K
Volume: $3.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Belal Muhammad in his next UFC bout?

Ends Jun 2, 2027

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $16.5
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $11.63

If you invest $100 $222.22 back +$122.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $12.97
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $12.97

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.56K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $74K
Potential payout: $400K
Potential profit: $326K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$13.75K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $70.88K
Potential payout: $135K
Potential profit: $64.13K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $21.7K

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.38K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $64.9K
Potential payout: $65K
Potential profit: $97.5
User PnL: -$22.42

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $23.36K
Potential payout: $101.8K
Potential profit: $78.44K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $6.57K

If you invest $100 $435.73 back +$335.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.12K
Volume: $2K
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $10.3K
Potential payout: $14.5K
Potential profit: $4.21K
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $1.91K

If you invest $100 $140.85 back +$40.85 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $8.24K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.94K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.09K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $59.36K
Potential payout: $106.95K
Potential profit: $47.59K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $12.11K

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $40.91K
Potential payout: $101.01K
Potential profit: $60.1K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $5.13K

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $837.12
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $3.38K
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $252.44
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $402.62

If you invest $100 $107.47 back +$7.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $1.4K
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $64.52
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $102.5

If you invest $100 $104.6 back +$4.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $827.73
Volume: $90.12K
Win rate: 55%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $4.03K
Potential payout: $424.54K
Potential profit: $420.5K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$12.77K

If you invest $100 $10.53K back +$10.43K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $26.74
Potential payout: $17.83K
Potential profit: $17.8K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$26.74

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $798.5
Volume: $1.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.1%
Current value: $33.83
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $41.18
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $31.55

If you invest $100 $221.73 back +$121.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Dallas Stars be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $283.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $8.61

If you invest $100 $1.82K back +$1.72K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $780.37
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.29K
Potential payout: $98.53K
Potential profit: $84.24K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$15.52K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $7.35K
Potential payout: $69.96K
Potential profit: $62.61K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$9.39K

If you invest $100 $952.38 back +$852.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $753.61
Volume: $3.47K
Win rate: 98%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $4.43K
Potential payout: $5.09K
Potential profit: $661.36
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$138.14

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $2.95K
Potential payout: $16.9K
Potential profit: $13.95K
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: -$516.91

If you invest $100 $573.39 back +$473.39 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $40.91K
Potential payout: $101.01K
Potential profit: $60.1K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $5.13K

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $29.28K
Potential payout: $59.16K
Potential profit: $29.87K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $891.37

If you invest $100 $202.02 back +$102.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $26.54K
Potential payout: $96.51K
Potential profit: $69.97K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $458.35

If you invest $100 $363.64 back +$263.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $23.36K
Potential payout: $101.8K
Potential profit: $78.44K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $6.57K

If you invest $100 $435.73 back +$335.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Current value: $21.19K
Potential payout: $100.17K
Potential profit: $78.98K
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $12.43K

If you invest $100 $472.81 back +$372.81 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.4%
Current value: $16.14K
Potential payout: $20.86K
Potential profit: $4.73K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $224.94

If you invest $100 $129.28 back +$29.28 estimated profit if it wins

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