Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $14.35K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $171.7K
Potential payout: $850K
Potential profit: $678.3K
Multiplier: 4.95x
User PnL: -$253.3K

If you invest $100 $495.05 back +$395.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $61.71K
Potential payout: $295.96K
Potential profit: $234.25K
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: $60.54K

If you invest $100 $479.62 back +$379.62 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.3%
Current value: $126.87K
Potential payout: $331.7K
Potential profit: $204.82K
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: -$34.46K

If you invest $100 $261.44 back +$161.44 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 1:56 AM

PnL: $2.82K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 94%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $13.57K
Potential payout: $15.51K
Potential profit: $1.94K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $773.8

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $9.34K
Potential payout: $11.06K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $2.85K

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.66K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $384.54K
Potential payout: $392.59K
Potential profit: $8.05K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $63.3K

If you invest $100 $102.09 back +$2.09 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $52.92K
Potential payout: $53.1K
Potential profit: $185.87
User PnL: $5.21K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.58K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 42.1%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $8.37K
Potential payout: $9.57K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.41K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $317.79
Potential payout: $22.7K
Potential profit: $22.38K
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$2.36K

If you invest $100 $7.14K back +$7.04K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.53K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $9.54K
Potential payout: $13.82K
Potential profit: $4.29K
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $5.76K

If you invest $100 $144.95 back +$44.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $391.28
Potential payout: $447.18
Potential profit: $55.9
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $216.88

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.46K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $4.46K
Potential payout: $5.09K
Potential profit: $636.66
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.36K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $4.08K
Potential payout: $5.91K
Potential profit: $1.83K
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $1.28K

If you invest $100 $144.95 back +$44.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.24K
Volume: $866.09
Win rate: 74%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $7.73K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $3.43K

If you invest $100 $120.48 back +$20.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $5.15K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.85K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $163.58

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.15K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $448.73K
Potential payout: $460K
Potential profit: $11.27K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $16.33K

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.96K
Potential profit: $66.96K
User PnL: -$14.06K

PnL: $1.04K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $5.5K
Potential payout: $6.28K
Potential profit: $785.12
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.5K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $4.86K
Potential payout: $5.08K
Potential profit: $215.81
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$152.61

If you invest $100 $104.44 back +$4.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $956.08
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.3%
Current value: $126.87K
Potential payout: $331.7K
Potential profit: $204.82K
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: -$34.46K

If you invest $100 $261.44 back +$161.44 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $62.67K
Potential payout: $65.32K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.34K

If you invest $100 $104.22 back +$4.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $926.76
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $18.1K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$100

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $13.24K
Potential payout: $13.58K
Potential profit: $332.62
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $467.7

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $896.51
Volume: $311.11
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $4.59K
Potential payout: $5.25K
Potential profit: $656.13
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.4K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $189.44
Potential payout: $611.11
Potential profit: $421.67
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $31.56

If you invest $100 $322.58 back +$222.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $787.74
Volume: $9.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.8%
Current value: $682.05K
Potential payout: $854.7K
Potential profit: $172.65K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $253.99K

If you invest $100 $125.31 back +$25.31 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $171.7K
Potential payout: $850K
Potential profit: $678.3K
Multiplier: 4.95x
User PnL: -$253.3K

If you invest $100 $495.05 back +$395.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $171.7K
Potential payout: $850K
Potential profit: $678.3K
Multiplier: 4.95x
User PnL: -$253.3K

If you invest $100 $495.05 back +$395.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.3%
Current value: $126.87K
Potential payout: $331.7K
Potential profit: $204.82K
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: -$34.46K

If you invest $100 $261.44 back +$161.44 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $62.67K
Potential payout: $65.32K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.34K

If you invest $100 $104.22 back +$4.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $61.71K
Potential payout: $295.96K
Potential profit: $234.25K
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: $60.54K

If you invest $100 $479.62 back +$379.62 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $18.1K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$100

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $13.57K
Potential payout: $15.51K
Potential profit: $1.94K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $773.8

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

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