Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $13.33K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.29K
Potential payout: $98.53K
Potential profit: $84.24K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$15.52K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $20.98K
Potential payout: $100.17K
Potential profit: $79.18K
Multiplier: 4.77x
User PnL: $12.23K

If you invest $100 $477.33 back +$377.33 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $23.36K
Potential payout: $101.8K
Potential profit: $78.44K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $6.57K

If you invest $100 $435.73 back +$335.73 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 8:28 AM

PnL: $2.57K
Volume: $3.14K
Win rate: 98%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27.7%
Current value: $4.66K
Potential payout: $16.84K
Potential profit: $12.17K
Multiplier: 3.61x
User PnL: $1.21K

If you invest $100 $361.01 back +$261.01 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $4.4K
Potential payout: $5.09K
Potential profit: $686.8
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$163.58

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.36K
Volume: $3.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $19.17
User PnL: $2K

If you invest $100 $100.91 back +$0.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $3.81
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.01K
Volume: $17.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $26.54K
Potential payout: $96.51K
Potential profit: $69.97K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $458.35

If you invest $100 $363.64 back +$263.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $13.44K
Potential payout: $20.84K
Potential profit: $7.4K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $5.57K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.57K
Volume: $2.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Carlos Prates in his next UFC bout?

Ends Jun 2, 2027

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $14.09
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $15.92
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $12.21

If you invest $100 $212.99 back +$112.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Belal Muhammad in his next UFC bout?

Ends Jun 2, 2027

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $13.65
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $16.35
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $11.78

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $894.78
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $3.46K
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $168.9
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $486.16

If you invest $100 $104.88 back +$4.88 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $1.41K
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $57.92
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $109.1

If you invest $100 $104.11 back +$4.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $868.63
Volume: $2K
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $10.37K
Potential payout: $14.5K
Potential profit: $4.13K
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $8.24K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.94K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $789.72
Volume: $291.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $13.04K
Potential profit: $11.48K
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$1.47K

If you invest $100 $833.33 back +$733.33 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $34.62
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $2.27K
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $4.92

If you invest $100 $6.67K back +$6.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $780.37
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.29K
Potential payout: $98.53K
Potential profit: $84.24K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$15.52K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $8.74K
Potential payout: $69.96K
Potential profit: $61.21K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$7.99K

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $774.03
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $64.9K
Potential payout: $65K
Potential profit: $97.5
User PnL: -$22.42

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $23.36K
Potential payout: $101.8K
Potential profit: $78.44K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $6.57K

If you invest $100 $435.73 back +$335.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $722.17
Volume: $1.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $282
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $10.11

If you invest $100 $1.67K back +$1.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Dallas Stars be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $283.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $8.61

If you invest $100 $1.82K back +$1.72K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $647.77
Volume: $89
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $48.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $101.25
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$1.25

If you invest $100 $307.69 back +$207.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $45.94
Potential payout: $50.2
Potential profit: $4.27
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $20.83

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $627.3
Volume: $7.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $44.12K
Potential payout: $45K
Potential profit: $877.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.98K

If you invest $100 $101.99 back +$1.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $5.36K
Potential payout: $17.01K
Potential profit: $11.65K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$924.14

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $20.98K
Potential payout: $100.17K
Potential profit: $79.18K
Multiplier: 4.77x
User PnL: $12.23K

If you invest $100 $477.33 back +$377.33 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.29K
Potential payout: $98.53K
Potential profit: $84.24K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$15.52K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $13.44K
Potential payout: $20.84K
Potential profit: $7.4K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $5.57K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $10.37K
Potential payout: $14.5K
Potential profit: $4.13K
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $8.74K
Potential payout: $69.96K
Potential profit: $61.21K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$7.99K

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $8.24K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.94K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

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