Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $103.31K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $76.94K
Potential payout: $290.35K
Potential profit: $213.41K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $12.78K

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $78.98K
Potential payout: $135K
Potential profit: $56.03K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $29.8K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $38.47K
Potential profit: $30.97K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$498.91

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 3:04 PM

PnL: $13.99K
Volume: $23.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 24.7%
Current value: $2.04K
Potential payout: $8.26K
Potential profit: $6.22K
Multiplier: 4.06x
User PnL: $384.08

If you invest $100 $405.68 back +$305.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $37.52
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.88K

If you invest $100 $101.88 back +$1.88 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $13.27K
Volume: $3.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $5.05K
Potential payout: $9.44K
Potential profit: $4.39K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $1.05K

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $2.3K
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $33.83
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $399.36

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $12.57K
Volume: $3.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $9.98K
Potential payout: $12.48K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $3.74K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $3.84K
Potential payout: $3.95K
Potential profit: $104.63
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.87K

If you invest $100 $102.72 back +$2.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.72K
Volume: $10.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $3.18K
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $35.35
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.67K

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $22.36
User PnL: $111.45

If you invest $100 $100.81 back +$0.81 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.2K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $14.65K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $352.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.11K

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $180
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.82K
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$355.71

If you invest $100 $8.33K back +$8.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.46K
Volume: $40.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $30.96K
Potential payout: $32.08K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $9.11K

If you invest $100 $103.63 back +$3.63 estimated profit if it wins

Up position

Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $3.42K
Potential payout: $6.01K
Potential profit: $2.58K
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $2.52K

If you invest $100 $175.47 back +$75.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.21K
Volume: $3.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 40.0 on June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $29.82
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: -$0.12

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $28.28
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $1.73
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.24

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.2K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $35.72K
Potential payout: $38.41K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.84K

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $38.47K
Potential profit: $30.97K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$498.91

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.96K
Volume: $5.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $33.94K
Potential payout: $37.5K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $487.65

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $31.37K
Potential payout: $31.45K
Potential profit: $78.61
User PnL: $232.54

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.75K
Volume: $23.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $11.48K
Potential payout: $18.98K
Potential profit: $7.5K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $679.7

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $11.14K
Potential payout: $11.25K
Potential profit: $112.48
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.47K

If you invest $100 $101.01 back +$1.01 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.33K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 56%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $78.98K
Potential payout: $135K
Potential profit: $56.03K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $29.8K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $76.94K
Potential payout: $290.35K
Potential profit: $213.41K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $12.78K

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.9K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $29.35K
Potential payout: $38.88K
Potential profit: $9.53K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $5.99K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $898.84
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $116.8
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $369.14

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $33.94K
Potential payout: $37.5K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $487.65

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $31.98K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $8.02K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $1.47K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $30.96K
Potential payout: $32.08K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $9.11K

If you invest $100 $103.63 back +$3.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $29.35K
Potential payout: $38.88K
Potential profit: $9.53K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $5.99K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $24.04K
Potential payout: $24.9K
Potential profit: $858.96
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $21.79

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $14.65K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $352.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.11K

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

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