Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $109.71K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $76.94K
Potential payout: $290.35K
Potential profit: $213.41K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $12.78K

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $80.33K
Potential payout: $135K
Potential profit: $54.68K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $31.15K

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $38.47K
Potential profit: $30.97K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$498.91

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 9:41 PM

PnL: $17.15K
Volume: $4.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $5.05K
Potential payout: $9.44K
Potential profit: $4.39K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $1.05K

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $2.3K
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $33.83
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $399.36

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $15.77K
Volume: $28.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $25.34
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.9K

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.94K
Potential payout: $2.47K
Potential profit: $530.09
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$98

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $12.58K
Volume: $35.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $8.22K
Potential payout: $8.45K
Potential profit: $232.51
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.99K

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.9%
Current value: $3.05K
Potential payout: $5.18K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 1.70x
User PnL: $458.02

If you invest $100 $169.92 back +$69.92 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $12.06K
Volume: $13.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $3.2K
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $16.07
User PnL: $1.69K

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $23.76
User PnL: $110.05

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.3K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $14.66K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $345
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.12K

If you invest $100 $102.35 back +$2.35 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $225
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.78K
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$310.71

If you invest $100 $6.67K back +$6.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.19K
Volume: $40.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $32.07K
Potential payout: $32.08K
Potential profit: $16.04
User PnL: $10.22K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Up position

Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $6.01K
Potential profit: $6K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$898.26

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.22K
Volume: $3.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Belal Muhammad in his next UFC bout?

Ends Jun 2, 2027

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $13.95
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $16.05
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $12.08

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Maria Brewer be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?

Ends Aug 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $13.27
Potential payout: $94.76
Potential profit: $81.49
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $10.11

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.2K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $35.92K
Potential payout: $38.41K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.04K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $38.47K
Potential profit: $30.97K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$498.91

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.93K
Volume: $6.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $38.35K
Potential payout: $38.45K
Potential profit: $96.11
User PnL: $236.05

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $33.94K
Potential payout: $37.5K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $487.65

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.32K
Volume: $29.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $11.48K
Potential payout: $18.98K
Potential profit: $7.5K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $679.7

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $11.13K
Potential payout: $11.25K
Potential profit: $118.11
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.47K

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.9K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $29.35K
Potential payout: $38.88K
Potential profit: $9.53K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $5.99K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $909
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $106.64
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $379.3

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.39K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 56%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $80.33K
Potential payout: $135K
Potential profit: $54.68K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $31.15K

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $76.94K
Potential payout: $290.35K
Potential profit: $213.41K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $12.78K

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $33.94K
Potential payout: $37.5K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $487.65

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $31.82K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $8.18K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $125.71 back +$25.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $29.35K
Potential payout: $38.88K
Potential profit: $9.53K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $5.99K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $24.04K
Potential payout: $24.9K
Potential profit: $858.96
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $21.79

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $14.66K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $345
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.12K

If you invest $100 $102.35 back +$2.35 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $11.48K
Potential payout: $18.98K
Potential profit: $7.5K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $679.7

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

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Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Yes5.9% No94.1%

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Yes4.6% No95.5%

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Yes27.6% No72.4%

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes16% No84%

Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Yes6.1% No93.9%

Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Yes12% No88%