Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.23K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $3.65K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $96.35K
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$1.27K

If you invest $100 $2.74K back +$2.64K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.78K
Potential payout: $28.95K
Potential profit: $24.17K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$2.08K

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $33.66
Potential payout: $852.03
Potential profit: $818.37
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $4.01

If you invest $100 $2.53K back +$2.43K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 5:24 AM

PnL: $648.66
Volume: $25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $21.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$3.5

If you invest $100 $232.56 back +$132.56 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $21.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $28.75
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $20.47

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $587.82
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $842.67
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $179.37
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $19.93

If you invest $100 $121.29 back +$21.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $818.55
Potential payout: $923.36
Potential profit: $104.8
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $58.56

If you invest $100 $112.8 back +$12.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $552.68
Volume: $490
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78.1%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.71K
Potential profit: $594.33
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$153.27

If you invest $100 $128.12 back +$28.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $447.78
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $236.81

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $520.25
Volume: $0
Win rate: 76%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.46
Potential payout: $703.59
Potential profit: $701.13
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$124.18

If you invest $100 $28.57K back +$28.47K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $1.62
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.01

If you invest $100 $259.74 back +$159.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $517.93
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $5.54K
Potential payout: $5.8K
Potential profit: $258.09
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $459.42

If you invest $100 $104.66 back +$4.66 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $4.88K
Potential payout: $4.91K
Potential profit: $29.45
User PnL: $319.6

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $513
Volume: $3.84K
Win rate: 11.1%
Open positions: 3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $636.36
Potential profit: $636.36
User PnL: -$7

PnL: $509.41
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $466.18
Volume: $0
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $33.66
Potential payout: $852.03
Potential profit: $818.37
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $4.01

If you invest $100 $2.53K back +$2.43K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $23.75
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $226.24
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.25

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $464.75
Volume: $4.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $35.91
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $37.54

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.7%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $206.08
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$72

If you invest $100 $114.03 back +$14.03 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $451.7
Volume: $0
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $997.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$577.5

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$46

PnL: $450.86
Volume: $0
Win rate: 40.5%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $24.84
Potential payout: $25.23
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.7

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $19.88
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $0.88

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $437.85
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.78K
Potential payout: $28.95K
Potential profit: $24.17K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$2.08K

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $3.43K
Potential payout: $8.9K
Potential profit: $5.47K
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$499.09

If you invest $100 $259.74 back +$159.74 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $3.43K
Potential payout: $8.9K
Potential profit: $5.47K
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$499.09

If you invest $100 $259.74 back +$159.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 79.3%
Current value: $3.08K
Potential payout: $3.88K
Potential profit: $803.55
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$265.25

If you invest $100 $126.1 back +$26.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78.1%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.71K
Potential profit: $594.33
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$153.27

If you invest $100 $128.12 back +$28.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $447.78
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $236.81

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $2.03K
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $329.97
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $633.56

If you invest $100 $116.28 back +$16.28 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $35.91
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $37.54

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

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