Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $21.56K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $49.51
Potential payout: $14.15K
Potential profit: $14.1K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $68.38

If you invest $100 $28.57K back +$28.47K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $29.75
Potential payout: $8.5K
Potential profit: $8.47K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.32K

If you invest $100 $28.57K back +$28.47K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $47.43
Potential payout: $5.58K
Potential profit: $5.53K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $5.13

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 9:38 PM

PnL: $2.51K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $63.24
Potential payout: $66.22
Potential profit: $2.98
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $38.74

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $49.51
Potential payout: $14.15K
Potential profit: $14.1K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $68.38

If you invest $100 $28.57K back +$28.47K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.42K
Volume: $8.09K
Win rate: 54.8%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.31K
Volume: $6.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $46.93
Potential payout: $149.23
Potential profit: $102.3
Multiplier: 3.18x
User PnL: $28.28

If you invest $100 $317.97 back +$217.97 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $46.43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $3.58
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $43.65

If you invest $100 $107.7 back +$7.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.26K
Volume: $78.67K
Win rate: 96%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $64.55
Potential payout: $494.65
Potential profit: $430.1
Multiplier: 7.66x
User PnL: $3.71

If you invest $100 $766.28 back +$666.28 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $27.51
Potential payout: $500.13
Potential profit: $472.62
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$102.53

If you invest $100 $1.82K back +$1.72K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.14K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $15.98
Potential payout: $25.99
Potential profit: $10.01
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $1.46

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $15.69
Potential payout: $116.2
Potential profit: $100.51
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $14.68

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.07K
Volume: $24.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $126.23
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $172.86

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $1.08K

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.04K
Volume: $295.88
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.98K
Volume: $81.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $40.9
Potential payout: $47.56
Potential profit: $6.66
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $6.18

If you invest $100 $116.28 back +$16.28 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $29.75
Potential payout: $8.5K
Potential profit: $8.47K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.32K

If you invest $100 $28.57K back +$28.47K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.95K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $1.88K
Potential payout: $16.89K
Potential profit: $15K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$1.59K

If you invest $100 $896.86 back +$796.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.69K
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $10.81K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $62.5

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.88K
Volume: $7.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mark Baisley win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $3.17K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$73.88

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Robert Moore win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $3.17K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$73.88

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.87K
Volume: $8.43K
Win rate: 15%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.79K
Volume: $40.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $129.84
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 10.10x
User PnL: $31.62

If you invest $100 $1.01K back +$910.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude be restored for international customers by September 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $128.7
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $84.41

If you invest $100 $101.01 back +$1.01 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $126.23
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $172.86

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $1.08K

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $21.14
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $17.2

If you invest $100 $101.94 back +$1.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $129.84
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 10.10x
User PnL: $31.62

If you invest $100 $1.01K back +$910.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude be restored for international customers by September 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $128.7
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $84.41

If you invest $100 $101.01 back +$1.01 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $106.84
Potential payout: $314.24
Potential profit: $207.4
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$123.95

If you invest $100 $294.12 back +$194.12 estimated profit if it wins

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