Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.98K MENTIONS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $325.96K
Potential profit: $323.84K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $201.44

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.2K
Potential payout: $20.95K
Potential profit: $18.75K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$445.65

If you invest $100 $952.38 back +$852.38 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $3.01K
Potential payout: $19.44K
Potential profit: $16.43K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$322.14

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

MENTIONS leaderboard

Updated 4:18 AM

PnL: $427.95
Volume: $2.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $69.55
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.06K

If you invest $100 $106.16 back +$6.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $0.56
User PnL: $1K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $299.14
Volume: $1.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will anyone say "Loyal" or "Loyalty" during Love Island E25?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 47.6%
Current value: $52.19
Potential payout: $109.75
Potential profit: $57.56
Multiplier: 2.10x
User PnL: $51.09

If you invest $100 $210.3 back +$110.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will anyone say "Drama" during Love Island E25?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $51.58
Potential payout: $109.75
Potential profit: $58.17
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $50.48

If you invest $100 $212.77 back +$112.77 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $251.11
Volume: $189
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $567.6
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $32.4
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $10.6

If you invest $100 $105.71 back +$5.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $401.94
Potential payout: $502.42
Potential profit: $100.48
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$28.91

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $236.03
Volume: $441.51
Win rate: 28.6%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $456
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $744
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$159

If you invest $100 $263.16 back +$163.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $372
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $228
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $36

If you invest $100 $161.29 back +$61.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $210.65
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $3.01K
Potential payout: $19.44K
Potential profit: $16.43K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$322.14

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.2K
Potential payout: $20.95K
Potential profit: $18.75K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$445.65

If you invest $100 $952.38 back +$852.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $133.48
Volume: $486.01
Win rate: 27.3%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $132.38
Potential payout: $135.08
Potential profit: $2.7
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $104.39

If you invest $100 $102.04 back +$2.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the announcers say "Aggressive" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $126.55
Potential payout: $328.7
Potential profit: $202.15
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $80.56

If you invest $100 $259.74 back +$159.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $121.3
Volume: $2.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the announcers say "Aggressive" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $182.91
Potential payout: $475.1
Potential profit: $292.19
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $113.23

If you invest $100 $259.74 back +$159.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $180.56
Potential payout: $361.12
Potential profit: $180.56
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $161.76

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $101.7
Volume: $390
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $176.4
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $3.6
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $137.34

If you invest $100 $102.04 back +$2.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 6?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.91
Potential profit: $65.91
User PnL: -$52.73

PnL: $100.98
Volume: $1.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $999.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $0.5

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $999.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $0.82

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $99.26
Volume: $970.36
Win rate: 47.1%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $183.33
Potential payout: $366.66
Potential profit: $183.33
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $177.33

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

No position

World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $115.5
Potential payout: $183.33
Potential profit: $67.83
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $112.5

If you invest $100 $158.73 back +$58.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $88.81
Volume: $148.01
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will anyone say "Bounty" during Rick and Morty E7 S9?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 83.4%
Current value: $231.04
Potential payout: $277.2
Potential profit: $46.15
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$38.71

If you invest $100 $119.98 back +$19.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $200.26
Potential payout: $323
Potential profit: $122.74
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $154.12

If you invest $100 $161.29 back +$61.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $87.52
Volume: $210
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $926.35
Potential payout: $931
Potential profit: $4.65
User PnL: $270.34

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 77.2%
Current value: $535.82
Potential payout: $694.07
Potential profit: $158.25
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$77.82

If you invest $100 $129.53 back +$29.53 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $69.55
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.06K

If you invest $100 $106.16 back +$6.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $769.6
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $30.4
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $641.6

If you invest $100 $103.95 back +$3.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $567.6
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $32.4
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $10.6

If you invest $100 $105.71 back +$5.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 77.2%
Current value: $535.82
Potential payout: $694.07
Potential profit: $158.25
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$77.82

If you invest $100 $129.53 back +$29.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $456
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $744
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$159

If you invest $100 $263.16 back +$163.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $401.94
Potential payout: $502.42
Potential profit: $100.48
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$28.91

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

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