Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $7.97K MENTIONS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $21.41K
Potential payout: $226.58K
Potential profit: $205.17K
Multiplier: 10.58x
User PnL: -$91.88K

If you invest $100 $1.06K back +$958.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $6.72K
Potential payout: $43.5K
Potential profit: $36.78K
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: -$15.03K

If you invest $100 $647.25 back +$547.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 90.6%
Current value: $205.17K
Potential payout: $226.58K
Potential profit: $21.41K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $91.88K

If you invest $100 $110.44 back +$10.44 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

MENTIONS leaderboard

Updated 9:29 PM

PnL: $3.24K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $266.6
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $1.78K
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $266.6

If you invest $100 $769.23 back +$669.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $74.57
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $74.57

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.21K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.53K
Potential profit: $3.53K
User PnL: -$978.3

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $409.84
Potential profit: $409.84
User PnL: -$186.95

PnL: $896.76
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.06
Potential profit: $97.06
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.33
Potential profit: $4.33
User PnL: $0

PnL: $739.81
Volume: $25.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $999.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $4.17

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg / Meg" during the Argentina vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $999.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $0.5

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $435.28
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $0.73
User PnL: $1.47K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $555.91
Potential payout: $561.81
Potential profit: $5.9
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $190.73

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $365.76
Volume: $3.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $150.13
Potential payout: $207.08
Potential profit: $56.95
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $143.13

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $75.37
Potential payout: $83.28
Potential profit: $7.91
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $68.38

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $297.89
Volume: $979.74
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $2.21
User PnL: $30.94

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will France be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $395.81
Potential payout: $407.63
Potential profit: $11.82
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $16.8

If you invest $100 $102.99 back +$2.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $281.28
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 90.6%
Current value: $205.17K
Potential payout: $226.58K
Potential profit: $21.41K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $91.88K

If you invest $100 $110.44 back +$10.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $55.21K
Potential payout: $55.63K
Potential profit: $417.23
User PnL: $268.42

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $259.52
Volume: $4.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will NIKE Q4 Greater China revenue be above $1.4B?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $156.52
Potential payout: $183.06
Potential profit: $26.54
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$8.16

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $25B?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $143.91
Potential payout: $147
Potential profit: $3.09
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.09

If you invest $100 $102.15 back +$2.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $232.05
Volume: $6.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84.6%
Current value: $36.78K
Potential payout: $43.5K
Potential profit: $6.72K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $15.03K

If you invest $100 $118.27 back +$18.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $6.72K
Potential payout: $43.5K
Potential profit: $36.78K
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: -$15.03K

If you invest $100 $647.25 back +$547.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $229.65
Volume: $1.58K
Win rate: 20%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $416.64
Potential payout: $809
Potential profit: $392.37
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $416.64

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Starmer say "Social Media" during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 49.8%
Current value: $249
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $251
Multiplier: 2.01x
User PnL: $249

If you invest $100 $200.8 back +$100.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $228.69
Volume: $875.53
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $49.63K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $375
User PnL: $24.63K

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84.7%
Current value: $16.94K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $3.06K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $6.94K

If you invest $100 $118.06 back +$18.06 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84.7%
Current value: $16.94K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $3.06K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $6.94K

If you invest $100 $118.06 back +$18.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $15.91K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $4.09K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $5.91K

If you invest $100 $125.71 back +$25.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $6.72K
Potential payout: $43.5K
Potential profit: $36.78K
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: -$15.03K

If you invest $100 $647.25 back +$547.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ed Sheeran perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $2.23K
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $22.54
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $110.53

If you invest $100 $101.01 back +$1.01 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $555.91
Potential payout: $561.81
Potential profit: $5.9
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $190.73

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $416.64
Potential payout: $809
Potential profit: $392.37
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $416.64

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

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