Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $3.89K MENTIONS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $26.56K
Potential payout: $183.16K
Potential profit: $156.61K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$98.73

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $4.87K
Potential payout: $65K
Potential profit: $60.12K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$222.17

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $6.92K
Potential payout: $56.5K
Potential profit: $49.58K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$21.33K

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

MENTIONS leaderboard

Updated 10:38 PM

PnL: $884.5
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.52M
Potential payout: $1.52M
Potential profit: $759.45
User PnL: $1.09K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $228.39K
Potential payout: $228.5K
Potential profit: $114.25
User PnL: $114.25

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $552.97
Volume: $11.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $49.58K
Potential payout: $56.5K
Potential profit: $6.92K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $21.33K

If you invest $100 $113.96 back +$13.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $6.92K
Potential payout: $56.5K
Potential profit: $49.58K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$21.33K

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $512.55
Volume: $5.97K
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the announcers say "Challenge" 5+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $85.08
Potential payout: $143
Potential profit: $57.91
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $25.13

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $47.97
Potential payout: $234
Potential profit: $186.03
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$3.27

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $491.96
Volume: $1.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $42.71K
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $30.3K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $6.21K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $30.3K
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $42.71K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$6.21K

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $333.83
Volume: $8.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $9.66K
Potential payout: $10.68K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $61.03

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $4.58K
Potential payout: $4.79K
Potential profit: $210.69
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $219.04

If you invest $100 $104.6 back +$4.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $261.34
Volume: $2.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $4.89K
Potential payout: $7.14K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$331.31

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

Over position

World Cup: Total Tournament Goals O/U 264.5

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $2.37K
Potential payout: $2.44K
Potential profit: $72.1
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $35.73

If you invest $100 $103.04 back +$3.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $234.17
Volume: $1.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $347.36
Potential payout: $399.26
Potential profit: $51.9
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $6.32

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $244.7
Potential payout: $294.82
Potential profit: $50.12
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $27.06

If you invest $100 $120.48 back +$20.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $227.1
Volume: $808.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Australia be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $3.7K
Potential payout: $7.97K
Potential profit: $4.26K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$0.14

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $2.91K
Potential payout: $6.27K
Potential profit: $3.35K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$796.08

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $201.66
Volume: $6.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $26.56K
Potential payout: $183.16K
Potential profit: $156.61K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$98.73

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $4.87K
Potential payout: $65K
Potential profit: $60.12K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$222.17

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $193.85
Volume: $1.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Over position

France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $936.27
Potential payout: $936.74
Potential profit: $0.47
User PnL: $441.55

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $926.81
Potential payout: $931
Potential profit: $4.19
User PnL: $270.8

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $188.31
Volume: $1.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nike say "Retailer" during earnings call?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $194.64
Potential payout: $195.62
Potential profit: $0.98
User PnL: $3.12

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Corner" 15+ times during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $141.36
Potential payout: $142.14
Potential profit: $0.78
User PnL: $1.87

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $187.46
Volume: $2.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $1.78K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $223
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $77

If you invest $100 $112.55 back +$12.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $814.9
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $185.1
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $234.9

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $26.56K
Potential payout: $183.16K
Potential profit: $156.61K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$98.73

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $9.66K
Potential payout: $10.68K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $61.03

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $6.92K
Potential payout: $56.5K
Potential profit: $49.58K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$21.33K

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $4.89K
Potential payout: $7.14K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$331.31

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $4.87K
Potential payout: $65K
Potential profit: $60.12K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$222.17

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $4.73K
Potential payout: $41.11K
Potential profit: $36.38K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.17K

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

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