Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $399.28 MENTIONS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $60.08
Potential profit: $59.87
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$8.2

If you invest $100 $28.57K back +$28.47K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.74
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.22

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $393.42
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $3.35K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$295.15

If you invest $100 $952.38 back +$852.38 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

MENTIONS leaderboard

Updated 3:50 PM

PnL: $44.87
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $43.19
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $42.9
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $41.83
Volume: $11.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $41.59
Volume: $231.1
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.74
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.22

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $60.08
Potential profit: $59.87
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$8.2

If you invest $100 $28.57K back +$28.47K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $41.02
Volume: $57.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will anyone say "Space" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$7.85

No position

Will anyone say "Surrender" during House of the Dragon E1 S3?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.77
Potential profit: $14.77
User PnL: -$8.77

PnL: $38.9
Volume: $157
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $241
Potential profit: $241
User PnL: -$60.91

Yes position

Will "Unchosen" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $51
User PnL: -$1.02

PnL: $37.71
Volume: $339.75
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $211.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $88.5
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$10.5

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $202.63
Potential payout: $251.71
Potential profit: $49.08
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $8.76

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $33.7
Volume: $66.15
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will "Apple" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.87
Potential profit: $4.87
User PnL: -$1.95

No position

Will "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.2

PnL: $33.57
Volume: $721.12
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $45.43
Potential payout: $64.44
Potential profit: $19.01
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0.32

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $45.38
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $9.63
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $4.67

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $31.81
Volume: $63.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $405.37
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.6K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $11.48

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $393.42
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $3.35K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$295.15

If you invest $100 $952.38 back +$852.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $31.68
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $202.63
Potential payout: $251.71
Potential profit: $49.08
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $8.76

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $200
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $300
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$5

If you invest $100 $250 back +$150 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $45.43
Potential payout: $64.44
Potential profit: $19.01
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0.32

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $45.38
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $9.63
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $4.67

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $43.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $56.5
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$17.4

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.74
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.22

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

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